TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdc7b…8fb6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT2254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$57.85
France vs. Spain: France 2nd Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.72
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$25.38
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.13
Spain to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$18.91
Argentina to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$22.86
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$11.61
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Uzbekistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.3
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Saudi Arabia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.38
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.2
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.25
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.8
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.5
Belgium vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.59
Spain leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$59.4
Spread: Germany (-2.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.28
Spread: Germany (-5.5)backed Curaçao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$8.29
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomicbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$17.4
Bunschoten: Hynek Barton vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+63.7%+$17.7
Croatia Open: Matej Dodig vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Cordenons: Sumit Nagal vs Cezar Cretubacked Sumit Nagal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$17.47
Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$23.34
Newport: Garrett Johns vs Patrick Maloneybacked Garrett Johns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$31.57
Jannik Sinner vs. Nuno Borges: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Under 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.07
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Nottingham Open: Karolina Pliskova vs Marie Bouzkovabacked Karolina Pliskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.7
Halle Open (Doubles): Cash/Tracy vs Arribage/Olivettibacked Cash/Tracy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.6
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$36.74
Royan (Doubles): Fancutt/Rai vs Hsu/Zhubacked Fancutt/Rai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.5wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$24.86
Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5)backed magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs Subtop De France (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsbacked Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked eSuba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Counter-Strike: Atrix Esports vs shimmer (BO3) - Rainhas do Clutch FERJEE Playoffsbacked Atrix Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$29.88
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffsbacked Infinite · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.8%+$30.01
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Counter-Strike: K27 vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5)backed illwill · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-13.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Las Vegas Aces vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$11.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.76
1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
1st 5 Innings Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 3 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Club d'Escaldes vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$28.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$12.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Qarabağ Ağdam FK (-2.5)backed ÍF Vestri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.