Fifa International · resolved market
Spain to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd89de0768d92ccab0dc20d9f2045f1509463b6582c203bb907e03fb02be4a1d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 52c | 51,805$27,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,758.8 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 48c | 21,331$10,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,248.27 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 54c | 19,367$10,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,843.17 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 47c | 16,277$7,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,610.81 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 50c | 12,253$6,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,079.61 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 11,351$5,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,467.5 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 44c | 7,450$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.55 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 50c | 7,365$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.75 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 6,664$3,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 6,443$3,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,123.61 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 51c | 3,496$1,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.22 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 48c | 3,375$1,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.34 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…20debacked No | 49c | 3,284$1,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -47%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 50c | 3,234$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.01 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 53c | 2,800$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 45c | 2,557$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.65 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 49c | 2,244$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.3 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed No | 47c | 2,129$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.77 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Yes | 51c | 1,810$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.86 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 48c | 1,714$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 45c | 1,580$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.9 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 49c | 1,294$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.26 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 48c | 1,170$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked No | 48c | 1,033$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.08 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b575backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 49c | 980$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.2 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330a…0e45backed Yes | 52c | 958.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 51c | 930.6$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.61 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 49c | 847.38$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.85 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 75c | 760.12$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 38c | 753.18$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.75 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Yes | 50c | 746$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373 | 335 | 48.4%162 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked No | 49c | 610$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232d…da84backed No | 49c | 573.48$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…928fbacked Yes | 55c | 554.54$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 49c | 528.15$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.69 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x271e…f001backed Yes | 50c | 512.21$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.11 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…02febacked Yes | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 47c | 499.95$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked No | 50c | 496$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…e3c8backed No | 49c | 477$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3a…99b2backed Yes | 51c | 401.96$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.96 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5361…c259backed Yes | 55c | 398.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe384…e24cbacked Yes | 54c | 392.31$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.1 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…529cbacked No | 49c | 378$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 50c | 326.98$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…cba2backed No | 47c | 317.7$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 62c | 300$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 41c | 296.86$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.68 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Yes | 55c | 271.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…3797backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed No | 49c | 246.33$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…0b7dbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -13.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 202.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…658dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…8557backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68c8…942dbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1538…044fbacked Yes | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.69 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…5cc9backed Yes | 59c | 168.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 49c | 167.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 65c | 136$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf1…2960backed Yes | 54c | 129.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 165 | 31.5%52 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked No | 44c | 122.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 51c | 121.13$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 50c | 118.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 109.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 50c | 109.64$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 49c | 99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 509 | 50.7%258 W · 251 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 50c | 96.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b2edbacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90a…06b7backed No | 43c | 95.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.23 | 618 | 55.3%342 W · 276 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9057…02dabacked Yes | 56c | 88.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 189 | 21.7%41 W · 148 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…b497backed No | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…b071backed Yes | 60c | 77.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked No | 48c | 76.81$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 49c | 74.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 49c | 74.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 48c | 70.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…8fb6backed No | 50c | 69.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabad…f40bbacked No | 48c | 66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7584…d6e6backed No | 51c | 62.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed No | 48c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…5619backed Yes | 35c | 59.45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 35cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…270abacked Yes | 52c | 58.46$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.86 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -16.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8d…50bcbacked Yes | 51c | 58.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2c…88c6backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain to win the second half?this page
- Belgium to win the second half?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Second half draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.