Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62d957fcba06611c25fe1f503ea59a1b148c7647e2d41b45101d454313752048
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 68c | 3,499$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.97 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Yes | 17c | 2,260$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.04 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,870$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Yes | 32c | 1,828$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.1 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…da6ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,600$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 74c | 1,204$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 1,072$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Yes | 31c | 891.45$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.77 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 73c | 704$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.08 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 67c | 678.08$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 33c | 484$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 483.3$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.19 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed No | 71c | 426.33$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.93 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 314.56$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe623…9800backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 42c | 300.74$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.8 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc783…8941backed Yes | 33c | 260.81$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 68c | 254.06$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.3 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Yes | 27c | 218.25$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 239 | 43.5%104 W · 135 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 73c | 213.25$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 68c | 183.08$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.59 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Yes | 30c | 164.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 70c | 139.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 43c | 131$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.33 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…1874backed Yes | 41c | 117.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 67c | 97.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 69c | 75.65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes | 33c | 73.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 208 | 16.3%34 W · 174 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Yes | 31c | 63.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…5619backed Yes | 32c | 48.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.30per pick | 35cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 69c | 47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 34c | 45.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed No | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked No | 68c | 39.72$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 60c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed Yes | 31c | 33.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e2…3ad5backed No | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 68c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked No | 72c | 24.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked No | 70c | 22.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…1e57backed No | 72c | 20.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7160…cce2backed No | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed No | 78c | 18.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Second half draw?this page
- Belgium to win the second half?No won
- Spain to win the second half?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.