TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfcba…2398

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
875
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
22

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT50950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 509 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
France to win the second half?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.54
France vs. England: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70.7
France vs. England: France O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.42
England to score first vs. France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$37.76
France vs. England: France O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.89
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+107%+$50.14
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
France vs. England: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$25.41
France vs. England: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.97
Will France vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Spread: France (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$48.23
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$76.87
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$26.55
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+77.1%+$40.06
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.79
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.6
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.57
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90.9
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.83
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$53.56
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.7%+$49.33
Showing 25 of 509 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT11145.9%51 W · 60 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+89.1%+$132.85
Bloomfield Hills: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$48.76
Estoril Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Alexander Blockxbacked Kyrian Jacquet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.36
Generali Open: Alex Molcan vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$88.58
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Facundo Acostabacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.15
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Katarzyna Kawa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.81
Generali Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Jurij Rodionov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.62
Hamburg European Open: Tessa Brockmann vs Elsa Jacquemotbacked Tessa Brockmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.93
Hamburg European Open: Simona Waltert vs Mayar Sherifbacked Simona Waltert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.12
Generali Open: Sebastian Baez vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.97
Generali Open: Quentin Halys vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$123.38
Estoril Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Jaime Fariabacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.85
Livesport Prague Open: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.4
Bloomfield Hills: Roger Pascual vs Masamichi Imamurabacked Roger Pascual · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$54.46
Zug: Filip Jianu vs Norbert Gombosbacked Filip Jianu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.89
Estoril Open: Hugo Gaston vs Damir Dzumhurbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.47
Livesport Prague Open: Laura Samson vs Maya Jointbacked Laura Samson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Yue Yuanbacked Yue Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.93
Zug: Alexander Donski vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Max Hans Rehberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$33.17
Generali Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Marco Trungellitibacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$160.46
Segovia: Takuya Kumasaka vs Luka Pavlovicbacked Luka Pavlovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$55.56
Palermo: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Ane Mintegi Del Olmobacked Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.15
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Busebacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.38
Zug: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$96.57
Estoril Open: Titouan Droguet vs Camilo Ugo Carabellibacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+112.1%+$151.97
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT7851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 78 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$62.49
Will Anthony Edwards win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$7.86
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28%+$7.77
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.2
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$8.9
Mavericks vs. Bucks: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Heat vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$22.5
Spurs vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.35
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+300%+$37.5
Spurs vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.85
Thunder vs. Pistonsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.62
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$26.5
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+150%+$25.2
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$25.85
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.5
Thunder vs. Raptors: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+109.3%+$32.37
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.09
Jaylen Brown: Assists O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
Celtics vs. Suns: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$43.07
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
Showing 25 of 78 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$75.34
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+81.4%+$28.27
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$105.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.45
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.16
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$122.96
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.06
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.46
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankeesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$118.32
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$111.5
Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.24
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$46.81
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.5
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+105%+$32.78
Washington Nationals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$41.88
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.99
Miami Marlins vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$117.74
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.88
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.35
San Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.95
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$51.39
Chicago White Sox vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.15
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$69.6
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$149.46
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Earnings — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.41
Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will SoundHound AI (SOUN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Will Hilton Grand Vacations (HGV) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+58.7%+$13.72
Will Krispy Kreme (DNUT) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will TKO Group Holdings (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will Zoom Communications (ZM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.79
Will Icahn Enterprises (IEP) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Will HP (HPQ) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+167.1%+$56.3
Will CoStar Group (CSGP) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+108.3%+$24.75
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.16
Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.57
Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+60.4%+$7.53
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Will Robinhood say "Summit" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.4%+$7.37
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$10.35
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.23
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+40.2%+$5.3
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$8.36
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$8.25
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win 180 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.8
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.77
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+57.9%+$7.33
Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$65.13
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$27.13
Will António José Seguro win the second round by 30–40%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+140.2%+$39.66
TreVeyon Henderson: Rushing Yards O/U 19.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.02
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be orange?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$87.42
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+170.8%+$31.53
Big Game: Odd/Even Total Pointsbacked Odd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.32
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.4
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
Big Game: First Team To Scorebacked NE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+46.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$8.4
FC Metz vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$18.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+97.4%+$25.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: VARREL vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffsbacked Gen.G Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+37.9%+$9.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+32.8%+$6.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$63.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$33.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.