NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb63ea44b9a3bbcd3d702619a6bcbd196d3825b0538ed6cb73d7eee69154d544b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x437c…f458backed Over | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 44c | 1,902$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.61 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 56c | 1,856$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.11 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 55c | 1,819$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.51 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 45c | 1,423$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.53 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…8732backed Under | 43c | 1,357$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 47c | 904.01$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.42 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 44c | 763.64$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.64 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 53c | 744.85$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.08 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 53c | 667.92$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 5c | 633.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 562.56$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 44c | 549$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.44 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 54c | 523.23$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.18 | 194 | 34.5%67 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 58c | 344$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.48 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 55c | 253.67$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.52 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 57c | 248.31$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.43 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 44c | 217.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.97 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…6165backed Over | 60c | 215.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…4153backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 143.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 128.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.97 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 40c | 124.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 60c | 124.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Under | 48c | 113.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 53c | 106.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.38 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 395 | 52.2%206 W · 189 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27e…3575backed Under | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 44c | 92.82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.13 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Under | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…7518backed Over | 57c | 87.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…0fe0backed Under | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 45c | 76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 67.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 45c | 66.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 60c | 65.97$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 41c | 50.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 160 | 52.5%84 W · 76 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…0e99backed Under | 52c | 49.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 456 | 53.5%244 W · 212 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Over | 58c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 51c | 45.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 72c | 43.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed Under | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 40c | 36.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 40c | 36.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 44.2%165 W · 208 L | -19.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbb…727fbacked Under | 40c | 30.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 41c | 29.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 45c | 28.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf702…683dbacked Over | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…16aebacked Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 63cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53d7…0b48backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Over | 60c | 17.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. CavaliersCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.