NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Cavaliers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4065026f8e98b4ce998dc308ba5926a8fc27494655d937b70321df1b40abf4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Knicks, Cavaliers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,561,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,636,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,561,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Knicks | 39c | 254,521$99,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99,263.33 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd6…918ebacked Knicks | 0c | 163,994$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 68 | 11.8%8 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 82,252$50,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,078.44 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Cavaliers | 61c | 70,000$42,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,299.98 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 55,550$33,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,219.93 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Knicks | 0c | 41,250$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Cavaliers | 61c | 33,023$20,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,936.65 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Cavaliers | 61c | 29,997$18,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,698.83 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 39c | 29,452$11,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,429.11 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cavaliers | 60c | 23,403$14,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,267.07 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cavaliers | 71c | 21,489$15,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,125.69 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 20,000$12,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Knicks | 17c | 19,881$3,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,384.16 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Knicks | 0c | 18,564$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 331 | 39.3%130 W · 201 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cavaliers | 77c | 17,981$13,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.01 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Knicks | 39c | 16,000$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.98 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f4d6backed Cavaliers | 60c | 15,000$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,062.19 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cavaliers | 73c | 14,124$10,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,798.14 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Knicks | 39c | 13,760$5,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,366.36 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Cavaliers | 67c | 13,579$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,478.98 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cavaliers | 74c | 13,579$10,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,537.04 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…1079backed Knicks | 20c | 12,816$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527.41 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Knicks | 41c | 12,500$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.06 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Cavaliers | 61c | 12,040$7,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,718.48 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…1d54backed Cavaliers | 61c | 11,600$7,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,524 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…ddf7backed Knicks | 39c | 11,600$4,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,523.98 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cavaliers | 74c | 11,151$8,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,866.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cavaliers | 69c | 10,885$7,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,392.73 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 10,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,950 | 352 | 51.1%180 W · 172 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…0fa2backed Cavaliers | 61c | 10,000$6,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks | 39c | 9,493$3,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,726.75 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cavaliers | 77c | 8,325$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Knicks | 39c | 8,275$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Knicks | 39c | 8,129$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.24 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Knicks | 40c | 7,992$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.69 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Knicks | 1c | 7,402$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…0caabacked Knicks | 39c | 7,000$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.96 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…050cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 6,997$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.75 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 6,730$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.31 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Knicks | 39c | 6,587$2,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,569.1 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Knicks | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 1c | 6,283$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.83 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Knicks | 16c | 6,061$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Knicks | 5c | 5,604$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.4 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 5,535$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.19 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Knicks | 20c | 5,459$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…6e87backed Cavaliers | 61c | 5,273$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.28 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 3c | 5,104$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Knicks | 40c | 5,050$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1997…2e36backed Knicks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…9171backed Cavaliers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Cavaliers | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc7…cdf9backed Knicks | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks | 39c | 5,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.99 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…d35fbacked Knicks | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Cavaliers | 61c | 4,879$2,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.65 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Knicks | 29c | 4,832$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 481 | 32.6%157 W · 324 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Knicks | 13c | 4,744$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.69 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 61c | 4,664$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 29c | 4,474$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.55 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c8…bb9ebacked Knicks | 16c | 4,344$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.86 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e1…b37bbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 4,159$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,663.69 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Cavaliers | 63c | 4,125$2,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.31 | 67 | 71.6%48 W · 19 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers | 60c | 4,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Knicks | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cavaliers | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…abbbbacked Knicks | 25c | 3,988$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 312 | 51.9%162 W · 150 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…3087backed Knicks | 24c | 3,935$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.14 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed Knicks | 39c | 3,884$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.6 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked Cavaliers | 62c | 3,866$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.13 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked Cavaliers | 61c | 3,851$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501.84 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Knicks | 0c | 3,570$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Knicks | 1c | 3,524$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 38c | 3,513$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked Knicks | 29c | 3,285$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.89 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Cavaliers | 61c | 3,279$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,278.69 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +7.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…2b17backed Cavaliers | 60c | 3,078$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.39 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Knicks | 1c | 3,031$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Cavaliers | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 133 | 39.1%52 W · 81 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Cavaliers | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…068dbacked Cavaliers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Cavaliers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa85a…7586backed Knicks | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Knicks | 39c | 2,975$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.24 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Knicks | 29c | 2,700$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.93 | 268 | 42.9%115 W · 153 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c86…7622backed Knicks | 40c | 2,600$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Cavaliers | 67c | 2,528$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.36 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Knicks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Cavaliers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Knicks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 626 | 52.2%327 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Knicks | 39c | 2,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…d5c6backed Knicks | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019b…3e0cbacked Knicks | 40c | 2,499$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 61cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Cavaliers | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 356 | 50%178 W · 178 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cb…55d3backed Cavaliers | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cavaliers | 72c | 2,438$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.96 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed Knicks | 38c | 2,427$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.1 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…19a0backed Knicks | 19c | 2,396$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.68 | 260 | 44.6%116 W · 144 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Cavaliersthis page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)Cavaliers won
- Donovan Mitchell: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Evan Mobley: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5No won
- James Harden: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
- Josh Hart: Points O/U 10.5No won
- Josh Hart: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H MoneylineCavaliers won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 228.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 229.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 230.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 231.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5Under won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.