TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8076…85f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
218
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst AI at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT16125.5%41 W · 120 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 161 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.69
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+139.9%+$209.88
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$42.71
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+254.1%+$127.03
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+365.1%+$80.33
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$170.8
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.06
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+246.2%+$738.56
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$146.57
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.26
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.03
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+432.8%+$578.55
Showing 25 of 161 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2917.2%5 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+215%+$107.48
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.94
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.95
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$149.5
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$191.37
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.47
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.66
Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.93
Canada leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$70.91
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.98
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+1,021.6%+$153.24
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on May 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+52.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Shenzhen Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Liaoning Flying Leopards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+150%+$36.15
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Chengyiyi Yuanbacked Chengyiyi Yuan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 31, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$499
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir Technologies (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.