NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xacc23a9c2a560142bda18884949374d6a9d920b0e44c57b43bc4e8911727b01f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Lakers, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,167,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,804,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,167,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Lakers | 13c | 438,347$57,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,358.13 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 17c | 394,161$68,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,887.8 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Lakers | 14c | 350,000$47,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,786.21 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 72c | 222,255$160,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,346.13 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d8…5213backed Lakers | 11c | 164,224$18,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,064.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Lakers | 11c | 99,820$10,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,928.74 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Lakers | 6c | 98,498$5,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.78 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Lakers | 10c | 91,416$9,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,416.27 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Thunder | 78c | 60,000$46,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,199.98 | 344 | 56.7%195 W · 149 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…f183backed Lakers | 17c | 56,850$9,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,890.53 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Lakers | 9c | 54,800$5,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,179.99 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Lakers | 11c | 49,201$5,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,412.15 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Lakers | 11c | 48,972$5,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,386.91 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Lakers | 13c | 48,449$6,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,250 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Lakers | 10c | 47,965$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Lakers | 14c | 47,373$6,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,806.52 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lakers | 23c | 45,000$10,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,350 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Lakers | 14c | 31,521$4,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,407.62 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lakers | 13c | 30,000$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,899.97 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Lakers | 12c | 28,577$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.86 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…a7fabacked Lakers | 18c | 27,246$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.65 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Lakers | 1c | 26,617$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.45 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Lakers | 12c | 25,403$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,048.41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 15c | 22,424$3,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,349.23 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Lakers | 12c | 22,000$2,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,640 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf953…156cbacked Lakers | 13c | 21,200$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919e…d215backed Lakers | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Lakers | 12c | 19,135$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Lakers | 28c | 19,063$5,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.56 | 488 | 45.3%221 W · 267 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Lakers | 13c | 19,045$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Thunder | 72c | 18,744$13,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,248.32 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Thunder | 78c | 15,000$11,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 297 | 48.1%143 W · 154 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 68c | 14,714$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,714.36 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lakers | 14c | 14,008$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.87 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443a…ba14backed Lakers | 11c | 13,689$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.82 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Lakers | 9c | 13,485$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,213.64 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Lakers | 12c | 13,306$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.73 | 205 | 37.1%76 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Lakers | 13c | 13,205$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.67 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Lakers | 8c | 12,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Lakers | 0c | 11,590$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Lakers | 5c | 11,500$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.49 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Lakers | 0c | 11,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Lakers | 11c | 11,000$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.7 | 143 | 34.3%49 W · 94 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Lakers | 8c | 11,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.99 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Lakers | 6c | 10,786$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.77 | 89 | 23.6%21 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Lakers | 15c | 10,672$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.72 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Lakers | 13c | 10,587$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376.34 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6e…7f49backed Lakers | 0c | 10,556$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Lakers | 20c | 10,405$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.03 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…9221backed Lakers | 12c | 10,327$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Lakers | 27c | 10,234$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,807.26 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…1eebbacked Lakers | 5c | 10,204$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Lakers | 5c | 10,006$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.61 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…c1efbacked Lakers | 10c | 10,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…2d14backed Lakers | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 189 | 31.2%59 W · 130 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Lakers | 20c | 9,960$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +9.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x068d…70d3backed Lakers | 0c | 9,900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…9e7cbacked Lakers | 13c | 9,408$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8821…b75ebacked Lakers | 14c | 9,342$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Lakers | 25c | 9,253$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Lakers | 22c | 9,091$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lakers | 12c | 9,060$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.51 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Thunder | 80c | 8,888$7,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.03 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…a539backed Lakers | 1c | 8,630$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x338c…bef7backed Lakers | 8c | 8,538$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 146 | 26.7%39 W · 107 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Thunder | 75c | 8,465$6,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.55 | 208 | 56.7%118 W · 90 L | +13.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Thunder | 76c | 8,443$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,043.46 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Lakers | 12c | 8,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 185 | 33%61 W · 124 L | -19.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Lakers | 12c | 8,275$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.02 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Lakers | 12c | 8,205$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc741…a270backed Lakers | 13c | 8,113$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.63 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Thunder | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.99 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Lakers | 1c | 7,933$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…799bbacked Lakers | 13c | 7,692$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Lakers | 18c | 7,554$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Lakers | 12c | 7,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed Thunder | 78c | 7,364$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Lakers | 11c | 7,295$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.44 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Lakers | 21c | 7,174$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8c…4b7dbacked Lakers | 8c | 7,123$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3a93backed Lakers | 8c | 6,785$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.57 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Lakers | 0c | 6,712$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…0a0bbacked Lakers | 13c | 6,594$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Lakers | 14c | 6,305$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.66 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Thunder | 73c | 6,203$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.68 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 10c | 6,100$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c2…58e9backed Lakers | 12c | 6,034$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed8…e762backed Lakers | 0c | 6,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…39e9backed Lakers | 30c | 5,981$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…8b21backed Thunder | 79c | 5,660$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9171…6c11backed Lakers | 4c | 5,624$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Lakers | 13c | 5,600$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Thunder | 77c | 5,566$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.87 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Lakers | 12c | 5,502$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Lakers | 14c | 5,500$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.62 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Lakers | 2c | 5,471$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.79 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed Lakers | 12c | 5,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Lakers | 16c | 5,175$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.66 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e94…7f1ebacked Lakers | 12c | 5,140$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.6 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed Lakers | 22c | 5,086$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.82 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Lakers won
- Ajay Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Austin Reaves: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Deandre Ayton: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Deandre Ayton: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineLakers won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 107.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 108.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 210.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
- LeBron James: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Marcus Smart: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Rui Hachimura: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 28.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-14.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-15.5)Thunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.