TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb0c2…58e9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.88
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$278.43
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$73.61
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+105.4%+$124.38
Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the Conference Finals in the 2026 NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$700
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+399.9%+$3,199.17
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,407.69
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$815.79
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$667.42
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.37
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$283.71
Heat vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+119.9%+$16.3
All 20 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.87
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+114.4%+$343.12
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+345.7%+$864.29
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Athletics vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$291.33
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+136.3%+$545.26
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$167.25
Golden Knights vs. Krakenbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 5 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$917Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.