TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Thunderof Suns, Thunder
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,421,394
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,346,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,421,394 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 538 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Suns9c315,952$27,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,308.629745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Suns8c220,369$18,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,683.2385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Suns9c158,302$14,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,184.172,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Suns0c146,595$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.44614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Suns9c138,744$12,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,486.9411737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Suns8c114,539$9,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,163.111,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a3…b19abacked Suns9c113,472$10,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,590.881442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed Suns8c99,998$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,999.848750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Suns9c80,764$7,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,406.237243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8516…93a0backed Suns9c73,505$6,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,615.448035%28 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Suns2c65,275$1,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,460.751,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Suns0c47,844$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.095213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed Suns8c43,200$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,455.9819653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Suns7c42,409$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.668038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Suns9c39,238$3,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,531.436341.3%26 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Suns0c38,204$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.227917.9%50 W · 229 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Suns1c31,930$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.282442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Suns9c31,513$2,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.225925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed Suns8c27,534$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.866060%36 W · 24 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Suns1c27,012$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.767911%75 W · 604 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd864…497ebacked Suns9c24,977$2,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,247.914042.5%17 W · 23 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Suns6c24,401$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.433,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2430…4527backed Suns9c23,420$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,107.841643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed Suns7c22,221$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.1310239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2904…ec3fbacked Suns8c21,981$1,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,758.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Suns8c21,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71035251.1%180 W · 172 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3f…8e2bbacked Suns0c18,493$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.971540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Suns0c18,451$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.893179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa362…a3e3backed Suns8c17,685$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2b5…b7b3backed Suns9c17,311$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.023764.9%24 W · 13 L+7.1wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+58.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Suns3c17,000$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44328056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa1f8…e696backed Suns2c15,172$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.632416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-40.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed Suns10c15,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Suns0c13,471$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.151,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Suns9c13,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2204445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Suns9c12,900$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.9920537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Suns8c12,778$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.841,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Suns0c12,350$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.655502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Suns9c10,578$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.021,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6114…69dbbacked Suns9c10,504$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.4540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Suns0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109618.8%18 W · 78 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b1…da36backed Suns1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick23cpaid+115.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Suns7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed Suns8c10,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80027731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Suns9c9,763$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.262144%273 W · 348 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Suns10c9,460$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9464841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ff…805cbacked Suns8c9,448$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.8442827.3%117 W · 311 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Suns8c8,441$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.642,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…a0f1backed Suns9c8,341$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.652536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Suns8c8,079$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.3135129.6%104 W · 247 L+1.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Suns8c7,640$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.51020%2 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cd3…0cdfbacked Suns10c6,947$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.661136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+15.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8521…df10backed Suns8c6,333$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.3118534.1%63 W · 122 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Suns5c6,000$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4319033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Suns9c5,843$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.9417247.7%82 W · 90 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Suns0c5,501$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.017211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5aa…5bd7backed Suns2c5,454$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.17558.7%44 W · 31 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x018c…9794backed Suns9c5,252$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-4.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-42.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2972…3f29backed Suns9c5,252$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.73941%16 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72bc…c332backed Suns9c5,222$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.8418332.2%59 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb6…c177backed Suns5c5,072$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.822821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bd…7235backed Suns6c4,932$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.616429.7%19 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Suns4c4,922$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.681,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e36…546cbacked Suns8c4,863$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.64520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-57.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns7c4,839$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.951,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Suns0c4,799$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.298783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Suns10c4,730$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4739945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed Suns12c4,648$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.758532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Suns3c4,533$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1322844.7%102 W · 126 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1f…773abacked Suns1c4,358$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.772231.8%7 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+5.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked Suns8c4,306$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.396550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Suns8c4,138$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.2961336.1%221 W · 392 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Suns11c4,105$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.536240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c1d…d05ebacked Suns0c4,102$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1814728.6%42 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Suns2c4,074$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0742640.4%172 W · 254 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Suns9c4,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36012756.7%72 W · 55 L+8.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Suns5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20044821.4%96 W · 352 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Suns4c3,935$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7436243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed Suns8c3,826$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.113834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa738…9c92backed Suns8c3,800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043729.7%11 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Suns9c3,742$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.7825138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Suns1c3,709$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.679349.5%46 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Suns2c3,684$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3118031.7%57 W · 123 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Suns1c3,679$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8717042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Suns8c3,630$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1536023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1a9…15e3backed Suns8c3,595$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Suns9c3,447$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.249545.3%43 W · 52 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Suns11c3,429$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.171,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5925…90b1backed Suns1c3,339$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeaf…24f8backed Suns7c3,315$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce0…59d5backed Suns9c3,270$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.3128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-75.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Suns7c3,256$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.367834.6%27 W · 51 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ba…5777backed Suns11c3,196$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827b…1eedbacked Suns1c3,098$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.398027.5%22 W · 58 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+68.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Suns1c3,087$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.831618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Suns9c3,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27058740%235 W · 352 L+24.3wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9560…9467backed Suns8c3,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd384…86dabacked Suns10c2,895$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.212119%4 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-59.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Suns9c2,852$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.682524%6 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick44cpaid-43.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xee96…0634backed Suns9c2,849$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.216250%31 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+21.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.