NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba84e25e433f72cb70b258b0b841c67bca50e88beadf2798496ac00c10a6b311
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $178,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Suns | 60c | 40,000$24,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Thunder | 40c | 18,624$7,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,449.79 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Thunder | 40c | 12,299$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,919.7 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Thunder | 39c | 10,405$4,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,060.42 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Suns | 53c | 7,573$4,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.6 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 42c | 6,768$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838.16 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 38c | 5,101$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.83 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed Thunder | 40c | 4,957$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.95 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Thunder | 40c | 4,820$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Thunder | 45c | 4,132$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.08 | 165 | 47.3%78 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Suns | 65c | 3,703$2,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.14 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Suns | 59c | 2,926$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.74 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 45c | 2,874$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.75 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Suns | 60c | 2,393$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.24 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thunder | 47c | 2,205$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.07 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…6df9backed Suns | 55c | 2,152$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.46 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 56c | 2,083$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.07 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 63c | 1,949$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.03 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…a5a4backed Suns | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Suns | 58c | 1,682$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.72 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Suns | 65c | 1,657$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Suns | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Suns | 60c | 1,465$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.18 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Thunder | 39c | 1,335$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.52 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -17.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…6adbbacked Suns | 60c | 1,318$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.04 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Thunder | 38c | 1,228$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.04 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 60c | 1,196$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.59 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…dfc5backed Suns | 61c | 1,195$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.14 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Thunder | 47c | 1,171$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.96 | 290 | 40.3%117 W · 173 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Suns | 61c | 1,118$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.4 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder | 28c | 1,022$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.34 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Suns | 55c | 1,000$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Suns | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Suns | 58c | 945.63$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Suns | 64c | 919.96$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.88 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…7ff7backed Suns | 58c | 890.14$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Suns | 59c | 839.05$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.53 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6779…eed9backed Suns | 66c | 830.51$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…3519backed Suns | 59c | 819.54$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.69 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +7.3wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa04b…f09bbacked Suns | 71c | 815.66$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…7011backed Suns | 56c | 798.34$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Thunder | 55c | 791.57$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.93 | 524 | 61.6%323 W · 201 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 59c | 755.43$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 58c | 706.16$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…6db2backed Thunder | 42c | 689.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Suns | 41c | 685.82$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.06 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Suns | 68c | 684.43$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.01 | 112 | 61.6%69 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 56c | 631.81$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d36…8f64backed Suns | 21c | 604.23$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.79 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Suns | 58c | 594$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.6 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Thunder | 40c | 578.7$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Suns | 24c | 571.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.67 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 42c | 532.25$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Thunder | 39c | 506.9$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.06 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7855…38a0backed Suns | 58c | 502.63$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4879…86c0backed Suns | 50c | 492.68$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.81 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Thunder | 41c | 480.64$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.71 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…d100backed Suns | 60c | 471.47$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.4 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Thunder | 43c | 459.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Thunder | 42c | 459.53$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Suns | 59c | 426.53$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 473 | 57.9%274 W · 199 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 41c | 402.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.02 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Suns | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 263 | 39.5%104 W · 159 L | -13.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…1378backed Suns | 46c | 399.66$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.82 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Suns | 58c | 399.63$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.85 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Suns | 54c | 398.59$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.35 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Thunder | 8c | 396.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 199 | 37.2%74 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Thunder | 77c | 387.97$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.74 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Suns | 66c | 387.92$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb7…4a53backed Thunder | 40c | 372.49$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Thunder | 44c | 356.38$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.58 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed Thunder | 55c | 355.42$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 54c | 354.61$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Thunder | 63c | 309.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.06 | 531 | 41.8%222 W · 309 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 42c | 308.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.68 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 41c | 304.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…b78dbacked Suns | 58c | 297.68$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…ea68backed Thunder | 46c | 297.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.64 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Suns | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.36 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…0f39backed Suns | 62c | 288.43$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Suns | 58c | 283.91$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.99 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 42c | 254.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Thunder | 42c | 252.79$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Suns | 58c | 248.3$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.29 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Suns | 64c | 241.84$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Thunder | 48c | 236.7$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Thunder | 42c | 235.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.65 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed Thunder | 44c | 223.59$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7987…884abacked Suns | 46c | 210.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.59 | 258 | 50%129 W · 129 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Suns | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…df05backed Suns | 59c | 198.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…88fabacked Suns | 59c | 198.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Suns | 65c | 187.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.79 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Thunder | 40c | 180.75$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Thunder | 53c | 176$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.15 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Thunder | 47c | 173.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Suns | 66c | 173.35$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.04 | 489 | 48.5%237 W · 252 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cd…7db3backed Suns | 59c | 166.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.43 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…78debacked Suns | 60c | 163.73$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Thunder | 33c | 158.02$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.