NBA · resolved market
Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x245375afc96bbb8a262c4ff505b01c5f77ba1f1b7a6fae62197be3965734aebf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8cc2…eaefbacked Yes | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…4fb2backed Yes | 53c | 1,333$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.02 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 47c | 1,241$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.31 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 56c | 995.46$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.37 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 46c | 985.17$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.21 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 52c | 926.29$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.56 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Yes | 51c | 636.85$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 34c | 635.18$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 49c | 634.09$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.98 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Yes | 56c | 397.32$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.66 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked No | 50c | 385.94$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.03 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Yes | 46c | 373.01$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6d…cf4abacked Yes | 63c | 323.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.65 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 49c | 281$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 43c | 274.08$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 560 | 50.4%282 W · 278 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed No | 44c | 241.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…684fbacked No | 43c | 223.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4c…dd9abacked No | 46c | 209.42$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4449…5095backed No | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 48c | 188.27$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Yes | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 47c | 115.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed No | 51c | 103.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed No | 58c | 94.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yes | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 312 | 38.5%120 W · 192 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yes | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yes | 69c | 91$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yes | 68c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…5bd7backed Yes | 48c | 87.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Yes | 45c | 78.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.13 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked No | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 58c | 68.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed No | 50c | 67.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 48c | 66.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | +26.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed No | 44c | 57.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…8107backed No | 47c | 54.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…4013backed No | 48c | 51.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Yes | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 138 | 37.7%52 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed No | 56c | 40.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Yes | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b3…fb5cbacked Yes | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 38c | 28.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed No | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed No | 47c | 25.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cf…7436backed No | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 236 | 49.2%116 W · 120 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 46c | 22.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Yes | 61c | 18.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dillon Brooks: Points O/U 16.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-10.5)Suns won
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns won
- Chet Holmgren: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- Devin Booker: Points O/U 23.5No won
- Devin Booker: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Dillon Brooks: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Dillon Brooks: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Green: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jalen Williams: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Jordan Goodwin: Points O/U 1.5No won
- Mark Williams: Assists O/U 0.5No won
- Mark Williams: Points O/U 2.5No won
- Mark Williams: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5Yes won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Thunder (-16.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-17.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineThunder won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 110.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 111.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.