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NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd48a…6e90backed Under47c11,927$5,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,605.771,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c5,500$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5851,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under45c4,635$2,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.691,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over55c4,185$2,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,887.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under44c3,225$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.2628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Over56c3,006$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.4215850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1251,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Over53c2,164$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.922948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over55c1,946$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.789853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Over54c1,481$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.326352.4%33 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over78c1,298$1,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.491,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Over53c1,285$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.1512850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Over54c1,049$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.6410645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under47c927$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.6918748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under12c877.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.758,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115f…e217backed Over55c875.7$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.062245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over55c861.07$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.486,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over53c786.89$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8492058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Under46c786.79$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under10c742.25$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4126034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2821,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over53c503.8$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.7812646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23013751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23ef…1d4cbacked Over55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2255337.7%20 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under43c494.43$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under45c483.48$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.571,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Over53c352.59$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7220040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under46c350.21$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.165045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over53c320.69$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.731,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under46c316.97$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.8154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Over54c315.06$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.933342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under47c306.92$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2516249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c293.5$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.011,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Over53c275.02$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.267350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c273.41$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.532045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Over53c267.25$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.618556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under45c246$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.766352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under45c239.18$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.633,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Under46c218$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0787049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under47c215.91$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4822351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under46c214.81$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8124949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under46c209.95$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.621,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed Over55c177.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6929352.9%155 W · 138 L+0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over55c177.08$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7545251.1%231 W · 221 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf836…f39cbacked Over53c176$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7227059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe720…0f1cbacked Over56c173.86$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.56844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under47c159.01$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7414753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Over53c155.49$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0826147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over67c147.32$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3332952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under43c142.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.1949247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under33c135.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f97…d227backed Under47c123.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+32.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Over55c122.8$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.458658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over54c117.84$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.214,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Over53c106.9$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.242352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over53c105.83$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7437652.4%197 W · 179 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under46c104.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.399653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cca…3c3bbacked Over53c103.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.873435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over55c102.17$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9720249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Over53c102.04$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9610148.5%49 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4762051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c93.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.651,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa17a…eac9backed Over54c92.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over53c91.68$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over54c90.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.421625%4 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-54.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over55c88.45$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.88740.2%35 W · 52 L-9.4wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Over53c75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.259958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x00ea…4013backed Over53c73.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.475046%23 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under46c72.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.4429344.4%130 W · 163 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Over53c71.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.84445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over53c69.97$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8927050%135 W · 135 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e4a…4ce0backed Under47c62.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.588348.2%40 W · 43 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c60$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.159650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over52c54.22$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0317052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Over53c53.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1210753.3%57 W · 50 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…31e7backed Over53c53.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1214054.3%76 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…5124backed Over55c53.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8850351.5%259 W · 244 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191e…9891backed Over54c51.36$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.622965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.9wins+0.20per pick45cpaid+47.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over53c51.13$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8527354.9%150 W · 123 L+13.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd61…02d4backed Over53c48.83$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.952650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Under47c48.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7514649.3%72 W · 74 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc845…a654backed Under46c42.07$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7ba…0bc3backed Over53c40.91$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2315650.6%79 W · 77 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Over53c38.87$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2730256.6%171 W · 131 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over53c37.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7238751.2%198 W · 189 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under46c36.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.911,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Under46c34.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9266143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7239…4389backed Under46c32.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9643750.1%219 W · 218 L-1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6912…2aabbacked Under46c31.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.517744.2%34 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over76c31.49$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6262047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418c…4a41backed Under47c27.11$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over53c26.64$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.521,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…8528backed Under47c25.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Over53c24.63$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5721459.3%127 W · 87 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Under46c24.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.139451.1%48 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Under47c23.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.924252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over56c19.48$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed Over63c16.48$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1313950.4%70 W · 69 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.