TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf836…f39c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
379
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT27059.6%161 W · 109 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 270 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.38
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$470.64
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.5
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.88
OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$60.19
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.03
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$40.48
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.28
Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.6
Evan Mobley: Assists O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.76
Ajay Mitchell: Points O/U 17.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 19.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$39.6
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.31
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.4
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.08
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.04
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$54.53
Joel Embiid: Points O/U 26.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35.2
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.55
OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.44
Brandon Ingram: Points O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$35
Showing 25 of 270 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT3138.7%12 W · 19 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks: O/U 138.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.64
Spread: UCLA Bruins (-5.5)backed UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 162.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.36
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-17.5)backed Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$288
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Wichita State Shockersbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.76
Cornell Big Red vs. Yale Bulldogs: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-10.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Georgetown Hoyas vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$42.24
Spread: Akron Zips (-7.5)backed Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.36
Davidson Wildcats vs. Saint Joseph's Hawks: O/U 131.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.86
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-3.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.74
Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 143.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$42.24
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 156.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$42.24
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-5.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.36
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.36
Florida State Seminoles vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$25.52
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-16.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$338.63
Bakersfield Roadrunners vs. Cal Poly Mustangs: O/U 174.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$87.24
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. Illinois State Redbirds: O/U 127.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$186.39
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 148.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$47.11
Spread: Davidson Wildcats (-10.5)backed Davidson Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$94
Omaha Mavericks vs. St. Thomas (MN) Tommies: O/U 158.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44
San Diego Toreros vs. Portland Pilots: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$28.8
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT2642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$41.36
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$47.52
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$56.32
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$40
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.39
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.44
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
Jets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$120.96
Spread: Oilers (-1.5)backed Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$50.11
Oilers vs. Blues: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$44.88
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$45.76
Sabres vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$239.12
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$198.72
Spread: Bruins (-1.5)backed Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+46.2%+$150.44
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$45.76
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$48.4
Penguins vs. Sabresbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+142.9%+$100
Sharks vs. Avalanchebacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Penguins vs. Islandersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$174.36
Sharks vs. Blackhawksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Senators vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Sharks vs. Oilersbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Avalanche vs. Canadiensbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-4.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.15
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.55
Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$27.03
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$18.33
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.68
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$116.12
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-5.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.64
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$158.85
Seattle Storm vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
Spread: Seattle Storm (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.88
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+162.6%+$365.3
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-5.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,036Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035.54
New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$434.28
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+91.8%+$585.83
Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.44
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.4
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.94
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81.54
France vs. Spain: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.84
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.72
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.09
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.04
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.78
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.96
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,136.32
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.15
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,530Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$539.57
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$515.52
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$25.52
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-56.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-45.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+53%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.