WNBA · resolved market
Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d8c9f6eac493fb6007c955985d77b7cc2e5cccba2d0e9d2ba82b5fe238516f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Phoenix Mercuryof Connecticut Sun, Phoenix Mercury
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $390,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 60,538$37,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,215.15 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 26,300$9,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,994 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Connecticut Sun | 39c | 25,551$9,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,899.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6820…1c19backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 24,627$9,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,412.58 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Connecticut Sun | 25c | 20,108$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c11…c7e6backed Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 17,778$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,777.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 9,470$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.19 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Connecticut Sun | 15c | 6,793$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.98 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 6,716$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 26c | 6,441$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.1 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 6,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 4,466$2,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.79 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked Connecticut Sun | 8c | 3,960$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Connecticut Sun | 20c | 3,620$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 21c | 3,502$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.98 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 3,391$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.29 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…1c58backed Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 3,221$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.78 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 3,156$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.68 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 3,085$1,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Connecticut Sun | 6c | 3,060$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.8 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…adddbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun | 36c | 2,737$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.16 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 2,637$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 2,473$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun | 30c | 2,293$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.09 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 79c | 1,900$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 1,660$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.82 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 1,609$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.64 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Connecticut Sun | 2c | 1,550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Phoenix Mercury | 75c | 1,542$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.73 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…c994backed Connecticut Sun | 43c | 1,493$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa569…08dfbacked Connecticut Sun | 23c | 1,470$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 76c | 1,456$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.57 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Connecticut Sun | 28c | 1,446$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.19 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…f1c5backed Phoenix Mercury | 59c | 1,400$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun | 26c | 1,386$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.69 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Phoenix Mercury | 69c | 1,348$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun | 23c | 1,303$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.4 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 1,250$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.47 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Connecticut Sun | 42c | 1,204$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Connecticut Sun | 27c | 1,193$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 1,130$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 1,122$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.35 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Connecticut Sun | 35c | 1,106$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Phoenix Mercury | 64c | 1,066$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.24 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63df…63d1backed Connecticut Sun | 15c | 1,060$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +8.2wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 986.55$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.59 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Connecticut Sun | 28c | 920.46$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.35 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 910.81$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 860.05$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 821.53$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.18 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 796.24$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.71 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…45c2backed Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 770$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.3 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Phoenix Mercury | 66c | 766.29$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.4 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 750$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Connecticut Sun | 34c | 721.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.39 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Connecticut Sun | 24c | 715.51$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.77 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Connecticut Sun | 18c | 712.4$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 689.9$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Phoenix Mercury | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 667.33$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.38 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2203…84e6backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 658$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Connecticut Sun | 22c | 646.99$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Connecticut Sun | 40c | 613.32$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 611.77$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.47 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Connecticut Sun | 29c | 562.47$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.81 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Phoenix Mercury | 80c | 502.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.58 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d6c2backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 500$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.5 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Connecticut Sun | 6c | 496.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Phoenix Mercury | 72c | 470$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabe0…5adbbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 458.58$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Connecticut Sun | 29c | 440.65$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.31 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…6382backed Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 435$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Connecticut Sun | 25c | 431.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed Connecticut Sun | 37c | 399.96$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Connecticut Sun | 30c | 342.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.52 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 339.81$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Connecticut Sun | 26c | 300$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.64 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 299.98$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Connecticut Sun | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Connecticut Sun | 37c | 273.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Connecticut Sun | 30c | 272.17$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.65 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b92…4f18backed Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 265.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Connecticut Sun | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 122 | 34.4%42 W · 80 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Connecticut Sun | 39c | 256.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…5154backed Phoenix Mercury | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun | 41c | 256$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.96 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed Phoenix Mercury | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phoenix Mercury | 77c | 240$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Connecticut Sun | 38c | 236.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phoenix Mercury | 62c | 229.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.34 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56f1…e83ebacked Phoenix Mercury | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercurythis page
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 163.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 164.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 165.5Under won
- Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 166.5Under won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-3.5)Phoenix Mercury won
- Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-4.5)Phoenix Mercury won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.