TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8927…f5c6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
742
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Olympics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Olympics at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT35531.8%113 W · 242 L+1.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 355 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Indiana Pacersbacked Indiana Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+423.6%+$551.49
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$678.9
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.55
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+206.7%+$514.9
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$130.65
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$268
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$248.5
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$200.98
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.8
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$169.4
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.75
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$216
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$219
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.5
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 355 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT13024.6%32 W · 98 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 130 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Spread: Dallas Wings (-8.5)backed Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.89
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.9
Golden State Valkyries vs. Chicago Skybacked Chicago Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$346.5
Minnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.99
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.5
Indiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Portland Fire vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+400%+$560
Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.5
Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Libertybacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Las Vegas Aces vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.75
Atlanta Dream vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.92
Toronto Tempo vs. PortlandFirebacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$425.7
Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.02
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Showing 25 of 130 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT12436.3%45 W · 79 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.94
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Flyers vs. Penguinsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$242
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.3
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$393.49
Ducks vs. Wildbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Avalanche vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$188
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.08
Rangers vs. Starsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.92
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.12
Lightning vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.8
Oilers vs. Utahbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$396
Bruins vs. Hurricanesbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.8
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Lightning vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$218.4
Blues vs. Avalanchebacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$248
Capitals vs. Rangersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.9
Predators vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.2
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT6423.4%15 W · 49 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+440.5%+$81.5
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$231
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.3
Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.8
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.85
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$324
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.96
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$324
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.1
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.74
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.08
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.8
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.95
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.04
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.95
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST3520%7 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Mississippi State Bulldogs vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.95
Butler Bulldogs vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.93
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
South Florida Bulls vs. Rice Owlsbacked Rice Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
Maryland Terrapins vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.97
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$27.41
Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Xavier Musketeers vs. Providence Friarsbacked Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.9
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.91
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. American Eaglesbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+244.8%+$31.6
Wofford Terriers vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+312.8%+$40.41
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.19
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+566.7%+$56.7
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Wyoming Cowboys vs. Boise State Broncosbacked Wyoming Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.02
Minnesota Golden Gophers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Minnesota Golden Gophers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. TCU Horned Frogsbacked Arizona State Sun Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick26cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+194.1%+$99
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$69
Men's Semifinals - USA vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$100.1
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Women's Knockout - Switzerland vs. Swedenbacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+203%+$200.99
Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germanybacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+117.4%+$351
Men's Round of 16 - Sweden vs. Latviabacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Men's Round of 16 - Czechia vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100.05
Men's Group C - USA vs. Denmarkbacked Denmark · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Men's Group B - Sweden vs. Slovakiabacked Slovakia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$175
All 10 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$215
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$91.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.