Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1301b00b9fe9aa44284c2870f9f5220945d45a011755b18f566488a28a2536ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCLA Bruinsof USC Trojans, UCLA Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,482
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked USC Trojans | 9c | 3,992$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.66 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed USC Trojans | 7c | 3,714$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 3,045$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.95 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked USC Trojans | 26c | 2,656$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed USC Trojans | 7c | 1,827$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked USC Trojans | 29c | 1,765$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.35 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked USC Trojans | 26c | 1,569$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.03 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…0ec1backed USC Trojans | 7c | 1,535$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed USC Trojans | 27c | 1,426$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…a63dbacked UCLA Bruins | 73c | 1,412$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed USC Trojans | 30c | 1,345$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.09 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked USC Trojans | 19c | 1,160$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 836.89$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5737…6424backed USC Trojans | 6c | 831.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 819.2$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.99 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed USC Trojans | 33c | 699.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.17 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked UCLA Bruins | 71c | 650$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.5 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 532.36$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.92 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed USC Trojans | 28c | 531.93$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.94 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked USC Trojans | 26c | 500.07$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UCLA Bruins | 77c | 469.09$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked USC Trojans | 17c | 457$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.42 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…b28fbacked USC Trojans | 14c | 404.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…5507backed UCLA Bruins | 71c | 397.12$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 390.78$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked USC Trojans | 6c | 384.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked USC Trojans | 27c | 370.94$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0632…d1b7backed UCLA Bruins | 69c | 343.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UCLA Bruins | 69c | 338.68$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb358…e547backed USC Trojans | 26c | 298.48$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UCLA Bruins | 72c | 296.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed USC Trojans | 27c | 290.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed UCLA Bruins | 70c | 269.67$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.72 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed USC Trojans | 28c | 215.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCLA Bruins | 79c | 208.5$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…747abacked UCLA Bruins | 71c | 199.99$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked USC Trojans | 28c | 199.28$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked UCLA Bruins | 66c | 150.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc233…93a5backed USC Trojans | 27c | 139.77$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked USC Trojans | 11c | 131.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked USC Trojans | 26c | 107.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…370bbacked USC Trojans | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…e09dbacked USC Trojans | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbce…c3b4backed USC Trojans | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…638cbacked USC Trojans | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…55dfbacked USC Trojans | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e8…1842backed USC Trojans | 29c | 99.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked USC Trojans | 33c | 99.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8542…4fc5backed USC Trojans | 27c | 92.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked USC Trojans | 18c | 92.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…f42cbacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 88.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed USC Trojans | 28c | 85.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UCLA Bruins | 77c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed USC Trojans | 28c | 70.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UCLA Bruins | 73c | 63.14$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed UCLA Bruins | 67c | 59.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed UCLA Bruins | 74c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 49.66$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 49.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ec…8debbacked USC Trojans | 26c | 39.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed USC Trojans | 27c | 37.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed USC Trojans | 27c | 37.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d2…35a4backed UCLA Bruins | 73c | 28.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed UCLA Bruins | 72c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed UCLA Bruins | 77c | 26.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked UCLA Bruins | 66c | 23.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a2…d2debacked UCLA Bruins | 73c | 23.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5004…c07bbacked UCLA Bruins | 74c | 20.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed UCLA Bruins | 78c | 18.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruinsthis page
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-6.5)UCLA Bruins won
- Spread: UCLA Bruins (-7.5)UCLA Bruins won
- USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.