TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe545…5bac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
158
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst La Liga at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wisconsin Badgers vs. Oregon Ducksbacked Wisconsin Badgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Washington State Cougars vs. Loyola Marymount Lionsbacked Washington State Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$101.28
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+106.8%+$23.81
Bellarmine Knights vs. North Alabama Lionsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.73
LSU Tigers vs. Ole Miss Rebelsbacked LSU Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+175.8%+$33.4
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+148.9%+$78.51
Butler Bulldogs vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+32%+$25.74
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$53.73
Wright State Raiders vs. Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$23.92
Detroit Titans vs. Robert Morris Colonialsbacked Robert Morris Colonials · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+28.2%+$32.79
Lafayette Leopards vs. Colgate Raidersbacked Colgate Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30.88
Navy Midshipmen vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$39.08
Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.21
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$145.39
Wofford Terriers vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+157.5%+$36.5
Queens (NC) Royals vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked Queens (NC) Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+75%+$64.97
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$37.4
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.74
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Furman Paladinsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.85
Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Bucknell Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+52.8%+$5.33
USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$8
New Mexico Lobos vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+113.8%+$58.14
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.29
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.8
Auburn Tigers vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Auburn Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2516%4 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$149.4
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+332.7%+$86.09
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$188.06
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$109.98
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$82.11
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$38.84
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.94
Magic vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$89.85
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$127.85
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$71.15
76ers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.37
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$54.16
Mavericks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$137.7
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.03
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+99.4%+$138.95
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$72.97
Pistons vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.89
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.23
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$339.54
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74.79
Mavericks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$16.84
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$46.84
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$33.96
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+130%+$71.25
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+162.4%+$176.94
All 25 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.2%+$144.1
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$167.45
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+99.3%+$94.5
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$53.24
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$43.61
Flyers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.3%+$7.77
All 6 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.34per pick51cpaid-67.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$592Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$592.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$31.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.