Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x492e2eeed357bd5e42946d35638af7d3a3f3916f6ff4d1cc53904ec0456d333f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed No | 74c | 6,800$5,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,768 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 74c | 6,421$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.58 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 72c | 5,699$4,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.59 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 5,523$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.1 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…54ebbacked Yes | 28c | 5,357$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 4,999$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.4 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 25c | 4,413$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.74 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 73c | 4,185$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.95 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 76c | 3,333$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.92 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 3,274$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.51 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed No | 74c | 3,224$2,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 3,053$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.84 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Yes | 26c | 2,840$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 26c | 2,131$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.96 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62c…2c44backed Yes | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,654$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.86 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,434$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 1,357$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 25c | 877.44$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.36 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa948…b032backed No | 73c | 740$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 27c | 687.98$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 620$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 9c | 581.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 11c | 446.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 444.65$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.7 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 49c | 408.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed No | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67c9…40eebacked Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573c…c365backed No | 52c | 365.38$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 80c | 359.87$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa287…b615backed No | 80c | 349.82$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…5992backed No | 71c | 343.66$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 11c | 333.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 71c | 302.22$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed No | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed No | 80c | 285.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.06 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f4…4e98backed Yes | 54c | 284.24$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked No | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 29c | 265.52$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3deb…c6b6backed No | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 26c | 245.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 71c | 236.71$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Yes | 22c | 228.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…70bcbacked Yes | 28c | 224.65$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…f32fbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed No | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 200.01$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Yes | 27c | 194.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3929…c3f2backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 9c | 177.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 207 | 53.6%111 W · 96 L | +22.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 10c | 174.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 28c | 169.07$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 13c | 153.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 27c | 148.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…64e1backed No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc09…21d0backed Yes | 23c | 129.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fe…a923backed No | 51c | 125$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.25 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 121.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 108$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 27c | 106$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 105.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…9fddbacked No | 80c | 87.5$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Yes | 17c | 80.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 15.4%8 W · 44 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75fd…9a86backed Yes | 29c | 79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 18c | 75.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 55c | 73.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…8fe8backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b02…ae87backed No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 73cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked No | 80c | 67.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…0e99backed Yes | 29c | 62.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Yes | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995a…a33abacked Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe755…644ebacked Yes | 28c | 56.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…f5e9backed No | 75c | 55.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed No | 60c | 52.49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…184abacked Yes | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 25c | 51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 27c | 50.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will 1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim end in a draw?Yes won
- Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.