TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x43e0…132a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
228
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST13639.7%54 W · 82 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
DeMar DeRozan: Assists O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Tre Jones: Rebounds O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 6.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.93
Brandon Miller: Points O/U 22.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
Miles Bridges: Points O/U 15.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.45
Spread: Hornets (-13.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.68
Spread: Magic (-15.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$148.04
Andrew Wiggins: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$34.42
Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Ausar Thompson: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+119.9%+$25.71
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 25.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$21.93
James Harden: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.2
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Mavericks vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$13.37
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H O/U 117.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$22.87
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: 1H Moneylinebacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 27.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.35
Kevin Porter Jr.: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+113.9%+$21.3
Ryan Rollins: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+96.7%+$12.29
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.5
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.45
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$25.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$150.08
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$138.72
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13.75
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+138.1%+$13.81
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.1%+$22.54
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+37%+$18.49
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+138.1%+$69.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+127.3%+$13.85
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$88.68
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.51
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$18.05
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$21.12
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$192.82
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+309%+$31
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.03
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$28.35
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.95
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid+19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$30.55
Levante UD vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+25%+$15
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$74.91
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$99.01
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.62
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+809.1%+$251.07
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.76
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$40.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago State Cougars vs. LIU Sharks: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.24
North Florida Ospreys vs. West Georgia Wolves: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$68.04
Spread: Bellarmine Knights (-1.5)backed Jacksonville Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. UCF Knightsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$51.43
Dayton Flyers vs. Richmond Spidersbacked Richmond Spiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.43
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 131.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$67.52
Spread: Kansas Jayhawks (-8.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$56.55
Spread: Florida Gators (-13.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+85.2%+$20.73
Milwaukee Panthers vs. Detroit Titansbacked Detroit Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AZ win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$23.6
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$10
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Noah FA win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$49.73
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$62.93
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$39.1
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$59.21
HŠK Zrinjski Mostar vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+42.9%+$21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick74cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.95
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+31.6%+$15.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.15
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+55%+$10.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.89per pick11cpaid+809.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+809.1%+$121.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+64.4%+$9.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+26.5%+$4.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kautkaili win Supernova 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$110.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.