IPO · resolved market
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfba064ef9c65c05794129468f519c4cf7a9b546d467fda390b1f7b1d5c325c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,506,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,311,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,506,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed Yes | 0c | 222,000$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 0c | 142,805$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed Yes | 0c | 86,289$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…af3cbacked Yes | 1c | 60,891$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…5d56backed Yes | 0c | 54,564$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 46c | 35,413$16,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,365.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed No | 51c | 32,463$16,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,932.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed No | 22c | 22,163$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,351.54 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 34c | 19,300$6,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,787.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 45c | 18,887$8,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,345.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…13a7backed Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Yes | 65c | 15,134$9,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,842.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed Yes | 8c | 14,467$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 7c | 14,243$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 13c | 14,000$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed Yes | 69c | 13,745$9,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,543.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…5b6dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,311$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 11c | 12,748$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked Yes | 35c | 10,400$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…0db3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…8905backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked Yes | 2c | 9,929$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78bd…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 8,952$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 71c | 8,805$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.91 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Yes | 25c | 8,716$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 51c | 8,291$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 74c | 7,364$5,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,425.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 43c | 7,022$3,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 30c | 6,619$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…7f7bbacked Yes | 12c | 6,567$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 20c | 6,560$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,261.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +424.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…3fe6backed Yes | 55c | 6,283$3,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,482.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d6…245ebacked Yes | 24c | 6,053$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…8c7ebacked Yes | 64c | 5,539$3,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,521.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 4c | 5,299$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 49c | 5,149$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.13 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed Yes | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Yes | 72c | 4,792$3,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,469.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 26c | 4,736$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 45c | 4,666$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 38c | 4,528$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,711.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 22c | 4,498$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 13c | 3,561$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,112.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +133%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 47c | 3,205$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed Yes | 8c | 3,163$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd814…7f65backed Yes | 14c | 3,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf900…cd0cbacked Yes | 23c | 2,741$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 60c | 2,661$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 22c | 2,580$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 65c | 2,556$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed Yes | 78c | 2,548$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22b5…bdcabacked Yes | 77c | 2,406$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29ae…4d2cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,393$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…84febacked Yes | 72c | 2,386$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47d4…f594backed Yes | 1c | 2,344$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed No | 30c | 2,300$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 40c | 2,001$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 9c | 1,923$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +166.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed Yes | 50c | 1,900$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 74c | 1,706$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed Yes | 46c | 1,667$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…fcbebacked Yes | 31c | 1,664$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…312fbacked Yes | 47c | 1,615$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 57c | 1,607$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f71…9c46backed Yes | 67c | 1,580$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 77c | 1,511$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.68 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…e9a4backed Yes | 18c | 1,443$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 70c | 1,373$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 29c | 1,351$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$953.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +279.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b8…ec46backed Yes | 35c | 1,284$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 3c | 1,250$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfa…f779backed Yes | 4c | 1,239$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Yes | 76c | 1,209$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…a66ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,204$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf072…cee7backed Yes | 58c | 1,200$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…2494backed Yes | 3c | 1,197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 3c | 1,137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 67c | 1,019$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…f4d1backed Yes | 32c | 1,009$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…0453backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 66c | 1,000$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 64c | 949.47$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.94 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 47c | 904.32$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 57c | 899.99$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8188…b171backed Yes | 68c | 888.84$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked No | 53c | 881.54$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Yes | 57c | 881.4$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 24c | 856.23$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.52 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -85%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c5…9243backed No | 26c | 849.86$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +290.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b74…e8d7backed Yes | 63c | 751.23$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed Yes | 62c | 741.37$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.75 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…450fbacked Yes | 37c | 736.01$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 77c | 700$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 42c | 700$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed No | 36c | 700$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 3c | 689.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 11c | 689.33$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?this page
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc. not IPO before April 2026?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $3.8B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.2B and $4.6B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $5.0B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.