IPO · resolved market
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd103048aef1d720383b2080f86b25ecf95106169e5cbe42ca442cb901c96bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- IPOevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,302,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,423,818
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,302,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in IPO is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in IPO | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked No | 0c | 590,272$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c29…7570backed No | 0c | 121,029$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 1c | 113,943$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf603…82f1backed No | 3c | 104,066$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 46c | 80,651$36,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,899.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1385…1cf9backed No | 0c | 62,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 1c | 61,703$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked Yes | 57c | 58,867$33,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,259.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +231%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 4c | 49,093$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.78 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 49c | 45,696$22,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,539.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed No | 50c | 35,772$17,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,842.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Yes | 61c | 35,706$21,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,996.76 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 46c | 31,187$14,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,752.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…03f6backed No | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 0c | 28,957$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 25c | 28,700$7,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,256.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…ac09backed Yes | 41c | 28,620$11,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,829.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked No | 47c | 26,824$12,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,486.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a3…13a7backed No | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 49c | 21,108$10,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,675.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed No | 0c | 20,184$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed Yes | 75c | 19,511$14,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,816.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 67c | 17,478$11,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,827.13 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed No | 28c | 17,274$4,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…0db3backed No | 0c | 15,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…5b6dbacked No | 0c | 13,291$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 12,759$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,809.51 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…d7b3backed No | 66c | 12,575$8,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,337.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 74c | 12,321$9,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,253.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 28c | 11,841$3,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,484.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +267.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 3c | 11,621$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked No | 32c | 10,775$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…8c7ebacked Yes | 34c | 10,084$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,633.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…8905backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 3c | 8,930$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bb…009bbacked Yes | 60c | 8,688$5,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes | 33c | 7,454$2,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…3c60backed No | 65c | 7,001$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…312fbacked Yes | 42c | 6,216$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,586.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 38c | 6,100$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,782 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 72c | 5,929$4,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 66c | 5,927$3,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,929.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0978…3137backed No | 58c | 5,669$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Yes | 55c | 5,655$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…ac12backed Yes | 10c | 5,525$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +900%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Yes | 54c | 5,477$2,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,523.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…3fe6backed No | 60c | 5,091$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed No | 78c | 5,014$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…e08ebacked No | 36c | 4,887$1,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked No | 76c | 4,801$3,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,645.85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 37cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…da8abacked Yes | 61c | 4,790$2,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 54c | 4,667$2,528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,138.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeedb…59e5backed Yes | 37c | 4,130$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 13c | 4,000$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,482 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…f471backed No | 76c | 3,962$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,003.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…359dbacked Yes | 72c | 3,828$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 30c | 3,807$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 64c | 3,769$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed No | 64c | 3,468$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a7…e7dbbacked No | 35c | 3,333$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c79…f166backed Yes | 52c | 3,313$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed No | 73c | 3,249$2,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,364.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…9fbebacked No | 14c | 3,203$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368b…2458backed Yes | 54c | 3,094$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…4da4backed No | 78c | 3,000$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed No | 51c | 2,603$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 29c | 2,416$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…bc57backed Yes | 43c | 2,352$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…4653backed No | 1c | 2,241$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 8c | 2,227$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +133%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37d2…7847backed No | 1c | 2,058$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…f88ebacked No | 61c | 2,000$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 6c | 1,900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…e164backed No | 78c | 1,886$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 36c | 1,848$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.92 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 13c | 1,818$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586.57 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…5790backed No | 33c | 1,750$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 15c | 1,711$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed No | 63c | 1,680$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.79 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed Yes | 57c | 1,632$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +143.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked No | 54c | 1,600$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Yes | 44c | 1,589$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…b584backed No | 62c | 1,554$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e5…b7e6backed Yes | 34c | 1,551$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +231.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77b…a526backed No | 23c | 1,549$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c7…de48backed No | 67c | 1,502$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed Yes | 73c | 1,228$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…f27ebacked No | 57c | 1,193$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 53c | 1,155$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed Yes | 10c | 1,139$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 16cpaid | +201.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed No | 50c | 1,130$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb741…a996backed Yes | 18c | 1,128$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +463.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 50c | 1,123$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…2febbacked No | 3c | 1,122$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed No | 58c | 1,118$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 65c | 1,115$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 28c | 1,113$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.24 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed No | 59c | 1,100$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…36d9backed Yes | 45c | 1,091$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in IPO and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?this page
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc. not IPO before April 2026?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $3.8B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.2B and $4.6B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $4.6B and $5.0B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be between $5.0B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day?No won
- Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.