TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x27db…e863

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
371
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.12 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 63 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6450%32 W · 32 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$682
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,161Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$352
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$934
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,229.66
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105.16
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$797
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13,976Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+169.7%+$23,715.16
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10,728Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+139.8%+$15,001.96
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.6%+$173
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$541Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$135.15
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$15.43
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$2,939Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+192.6%+$5,660.84
Will Russia capture Slovainsk in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$384.99
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,609Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,608.62
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$366.87
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12,557Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+181%+$22,721.37
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.18
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.4%+$160.8
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+47.8%+$62.78
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5957.6%34 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$870Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$630
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,292.82
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$281
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$555Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$555.41
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,465Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,465.06
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$6,620Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,619.88
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,076Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,075.87
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$750.08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,098Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+43%+$902
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,982Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+42%+$1,251.76
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$629Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$275.77
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$8,379Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$8,379.24
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$866.95
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$384
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$886Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+73.8%+$653.8
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,756Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,756.19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$216
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$5,018.67
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+39.4%+$441.23
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$6,352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.4%+$1,932.88
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,131Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.1%+$284.47
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$4,325Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$4,325.31
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,673Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+39.1%+$1,437.17
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+43.7%+$602.42
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT5168.6%35 W · 16 L+9.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+64.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+1,001.8%+$933.23
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$519Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+275.6%+$1,429.52
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,043Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+29.4%+$306.5
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+455.6%+$171.16
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,424Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+30%+$3,423.74
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$92
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+96.1%+$49
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.94
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+100.4%+$239.28
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$352
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.7%+$416.38
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+92.1%+$490.09
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+49.3%+$660
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.32
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$116
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+134.8%+$155
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+79.8%+$663.76
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$290.98
US x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+153.6%+$1,328.29
Trump x Elon talk before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$23
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$454Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$234.1
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$95.13
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$105
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+133.2%+$121.69
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$67
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST4266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
76ers vs. Lakersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Hornets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Pelicans vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+61.3%+$26
Nuggets vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+56.3%+$144
Celtics vs. Rocketsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$78
Suns vs. Trail Blazersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+55.4%+$71.33
76ers vs. Warriorsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+36.1%+$53
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.71
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57.5%+$73
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$46
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+57.7%+$92.85
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$38
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Trail Blazers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+222.6%+$69
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+29.9%+$23
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Rockets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+37%+$19.97
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37.7%+$93.86
Trail Blazers vs. Kingsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Bucks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+44.9%+$31
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+60.2%+$30.8
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on February 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+38.9%+$6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on February 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+29.9%+$41.02
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$44.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on February 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+30.6%+$12.73
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$32.54
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$17.69
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+36.5%+$62.13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$14.4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$77.17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$93.87
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.27
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$70.42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+194.1%+$36.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$33.06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C on February 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$935Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+28.3%+$265
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+52.7%+$13.8
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 21 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-43.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33%+$344.06
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$57.79
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+88.5%+$277.38
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$88.16
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,281Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+28.1%+$359.59
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11,771Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11,771.15
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$111.97
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.4%+$2,331.1
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,080
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$7,289.96
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20.63
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.32
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$40.22
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$61.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$70
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$2,119Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$2,119
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,817Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.9%+$580.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$640Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$640
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+134.7%+$114.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+48.1%+$32.5
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$32.2
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.5
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$19.46
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 20-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$15.74
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Dec 13-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$18
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 6-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+47.9%+$16.2
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$11.92
Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 22-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$71.82
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$21.51
Will Elon tweet 450 or more times November 15-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+525%+$168
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$34
Oilers vs. Flamesbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+43%+$60.15
Canadiens vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$48
Capitals vs. Red Wingsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29%+$22.5
Blackhawks vs. Wildbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$79
Stars vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$37
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Panthers vs. Sabresbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+104.1%+$102
Kraken vs. Rangersbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+127.3%+$56
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$156
Predators vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$928
Canadiens vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Blue Jackets vs. Kingsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$60
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$140.44
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+30.7%+$1,064.14
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,076Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+106.8%+$2,216.37
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,485Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+33.4%+$830.87
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$79
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.17
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+61.3%+$59.18
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+70%+$93.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$161.74
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$202.94
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$391.73
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$23.08
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+138.1%+$29
Will Game 14 of the World Chess Championship end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+137.6%+$21.94
World Chess Championship 2024 Winnerbacked Gukesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2024, EST+66.7%+$137.58
Will game 5 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$87.58
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win game 5 of the World Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST-100%-$30.02
Will game 4 of the World Chess Championship be a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2024, EST+25.8%+$24.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$131.2
Will Verizon/Visible run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+53.8%+$49
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+64.2%+$346.98
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$64
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+42%+$59.2
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Broncos vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST8100%8 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+85.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Buffalo Bullsbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+41.8%+$59
New Orleans Privateers vs. East Texas A&M Lionsbacked New Orleans Privateers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.7%+$47
Spread: South Florida Bulls (-3.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$98.75
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Northeastern Huskiesbacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$65.26
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$43.33
Marist Red Foxes vs. Siena Saints: O/U 134.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$22.9
Kansas Jayhawks vs. Colorado Buffaloesbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+46.6%+$4.95
TCU Horned Frogs vs. BYU Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.6%+$21
All 8 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+123%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$277.97
Will Senegal win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+92.3%+$87.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+50.9%+$13.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+48.5%+$146.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+42.9%+$77.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$34.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$277.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$26.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 52.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$121.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$105.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.