Us Politics · resolved market
Nothing Ever Happens: July
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9b2bc6b1b129586d9770b0c2c84121df740536f9396e2c7147100cc6cb1952
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 0c | 19,369$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…5adabacked Yes | 11c | 10,955$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed No | 41c | 9,129$3,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,365.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed No | 62c | 6,981$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.08 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8af…04e7backed Yes | 61c | 4,474$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…678cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,411$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.64 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 55c | 2,631$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.07 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…1e3ebacked Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf26b…6ad3backed Yes | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b8…b5f0backed Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 1,800$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 58c | 1,748$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.86 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe781…5e52backed No | 45c | 1,553$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked No | 47c | 1,429$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.31 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 53c | 1,398$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.58 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 42c | 1,316$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.72 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked No | 40c | 1,310$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.34 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…c364backed Yes | 60c | 1,305$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.35 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc45…13bdbacked No | 48c | 1,290$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 42c | 1,242$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.36 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed No | 40c | 1,230$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 5c | 1,180$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 28cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea36…f272backed Yes | 2c | 1,179$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 50c | 1,101$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes | 6c | 1,100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 59c | 884.6$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.82 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2551…d141backed Yes | 56c | 802.98$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed Yes | 61c | 800$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 56c | 785.67$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.68 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…bacabacked Yes | 58c | 696.49$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.97 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed Yes | 2c | 588.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed No | 45c | 581$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked Yes | 59c | 565.23$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.9 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b5…8b70backed No | 41c | 547.95$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed No | 39c | 540.02$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…eb87backed Yes | 56c | 537.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 46c | 520$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.4 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 42c | 506.31$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…6718backed Yes | 58c | 498.38$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.06 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.45per pick | 58cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed No | 40c | 457.5$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked Yes | 53c | 440$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed No | 42c | 431.1$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 58c | 427.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.14 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b6…9a54backed No | 42c | 423.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +94%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 57c | 416$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.12 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fce…2566backed Yes | 61c | 415.36$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.16 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed Yes | 55c | 400$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7799…ad20backed No | 45c | 393.83$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…456cbacked No | 44c | 363.11$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 58c | 351.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3266…85f5backed No | 44c | 342.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c38…dd02backed No | 43c | 330.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…0d1fbacked No | 45c | 315.96$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…e13cbacked Yes | 53c | 310$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4410…e051backed Yes | 57c | 309$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…fa80backed Yes | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 56c | 293.35$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6026…d808backed No | 42c | 291.83$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…4826backed No | 44c | 291.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2314…05a0backed No | 40c | 290.98$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dc…ad98backed No | 42c | 289.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…f93bbacked No | 42c | 281.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a9…0878backed No | 44c | 279.47$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…bdc6backed No | 42c | 279.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…471fbacked No | 44c | 276.48$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb0…9a50backed No | 41c | 273.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…8af9backed No | 43c | 271.88$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5718…f6ccbacked No | 44c | 271.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31f…cd8dbacked No | 45c | 271.34$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 56c | 271.28$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.59 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121b…4acfbacked No | 46c | 267.62$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…ab4abacked No | 44c | 267.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked No | 42c | 265.74$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…1253backed No | 43c | 264.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe0…8f0fbacked No | 45c | 261.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked No | 39c | 259.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe1…b5cabacked No | 45c | 259.11$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c27…3cacbacked No | 43c | 257.86$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xface…0572backed Yes | 49c | 247.23$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed No | 41c | 239.99$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.6 | 136 | 73.5%100 W · 36 L | +28.4wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 42c | 231.68$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.53 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…83ccbacked No | 43c | 230.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 229.6$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…0941backed No | 44c | 226.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…b78fbacked Yes | 6c | 225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 45c | 222$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed Yes | 56c | 219.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 43c | 213.04$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +9.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed No | 40c | 212$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…3ddabacked Yes | 58c | 206.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 56c | 206.84$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 54c | 200.02$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.68 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.