TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0934…f376

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
208
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: F1, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category F1 at 59 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT9334.4%32 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$170.24
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,432Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$387.7
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.4
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$676.5
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.35
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$60.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+136.2%+$17.3
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+2,117.4%+$243.5
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.27
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+3,161.8%+$1,149.62
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+824.7%+$938.23
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.21
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.6
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.63
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT4566.7%30 W · 15 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
F1 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$8.61
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$179.91
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$97.97
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+47.7%+$10.54
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$21.88
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+125.2%+$13.9
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+68%+$17.17
Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+125.6%+$25.77
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
F1 Belgian GP: Hamilton vs. Leclerc backed Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$6.6
Leclerc vs. Verstappenbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$26
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.78
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$8.4
Verstappen vs. Piastribacked Piastri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+38.3%+$19.4
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$13.8
Verstappen vs. Russellbacked Verstappen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+26.2%+$16.6
Alonso vs. Strollbacked Alonso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Ferrari have the second highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.85
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+25%+$4
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.2
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.64
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.37
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$11.2
Will December 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$35.84
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+170.2%+$128.37
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in December 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+27.1%+$25.6
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+354.5%+$46.8
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$92.2
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+163.8%+$106.99
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in November 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$18.78
Will November 2025 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$14.51
Will October 2025 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$22.2
Will October 2025 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+25.8%+$36.1
2025 August third hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
2025 January hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25.25
2024 November hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2024, EST-100%-$11.1
All 19 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick28cpaid-82.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+132.6%+$15
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$242.76
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.65
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.8
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.3
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.7
Nothing Ever Happens: Julybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.36
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.8
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.66
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.91
Will Elon apologize to Trump before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-45.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$18.81
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will Juventus win Group G at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Internazionale win Group E at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Juventus advance to the Round of 16 in the 2024-25 UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST+155.3%+$22.83
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+230%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+83.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$409Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$264.16
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$68.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+68.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+68.5%+$24.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.