Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb696d4fe889e38e950b9ff13d15f6c3f7fafea2f9dd8265f630385eb8c15367
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,803,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,158,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,803,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,372 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 15c | 252,212$38,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,380.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 8c | 205,292$16,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,434.01 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Yes | 13c | 171,570$22,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,794.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60df…a69ebacked Yes | 13c | 155,535$20,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,476.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 19c | 108,134$20,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,639.97 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 76c | 65,554$49,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,862.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…c630backed Yes | 20c | 58,000$11,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,784.95 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 23c | 56,636$12,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,964.01 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 67c | 49,103$32,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,118.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed No | 79c | 45,214$35,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,455.64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…5b74backed No | 76c | 43,752$33,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,494.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2826…5ea2backed No | 75c | 40,874$30,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,107.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 34c | 40,467$13,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,560.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…aec1backed No | 74c | 39,351$28,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,367.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 28c | 39,074$10,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,976.09 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 14c | 34,499$4,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,889.9 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 7c | 33,000$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.97 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed Yes | 23c | 31,454$7,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,289.96 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 23c | 29,779$6,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,792.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 35c | 27,612$9,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,670.24 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed Yes | 43c | 25,580$11,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,003.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Yes | 13c | 24,837$3,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 23c | 22,337$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.09 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…1f18backed Yes | 31c | 22,295$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…22a9backed Yes | 48c | 20,133$9,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,709.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…952ebacked No | 74c | 19,972$14,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.83 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068e…7f47backed Yes | 2c | 19,249$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 13c | 18,325$2,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 12c | 15,922$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.4 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 69c | 15,302$10,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,704.77 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…482ebacked Yes | 5c | 15,185$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 8c | 14,948$1,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 15c | 14,600$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.97 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed No | 78c | 14,427$11,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 23c | 13,772$3,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.22 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked No | 68c | 13,479$9,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x626d…ff68backed Yes | 31c | 12,961$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…4278backed No | 75c | 12,811$9,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.95 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5078…00e9backed Yes | 21c | 12,708$2,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc2…ad9fbacked Yes | 29c | 12,511$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 21c | 12,358$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.36 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…dbb9backed Yes | 10c | 12,062$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…6c8bbacked Yes | 34c | 11,999$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,069.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd300…30adbacked Yes | 38c | 11,882$4,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,532.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…2c21backed Yes | 17c | 11,724$2,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,041.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 60c | 10,973$6,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc90…9e95backed Yes | 1c | 10,757$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…b496backed No | 74c | 10,643$7,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,772.35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 76c | 10,440$7,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.79 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c68…2ddcbacked Yes | 32c | 9,519$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 6c | 9,000$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 49c | 8,980$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 4c | 8,784$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 5c | 8,491$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.86 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…b4e5backed Yes | 12c | 8,200$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43cd…f8c1backed No | 68c | 7,518$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb25b…38d5backed No | 72c | 7,322$5,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed No | 67c | 7,015$4,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,305.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +84%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 71c | 6,894$4,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.19 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 33c | 6,750$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,217.17 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked No | 65c | 6,716$4,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc021…1fa8backed No | 76c | 6,656$5,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 12c | 6,600$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.05 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 7c | 6,600$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 29c | 6,500$1,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…88f2backed Yes | 8c | 6,468$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,424$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef48…ef15backed No | 78c | 6,414$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f1…5840backed No | 78c | 6,409$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 33c | 6,320$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.35 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…4ca9backed Yes | 47c | 6,310$2,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf3…4ec6backed Yes | 11c | 6,186$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7083…49f9backed No | 59c | 6,083$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c49…7af9backed No | 75c | 6,000$4,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -77.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…366cbacked Yes | 8c | 5,938$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90e3…5e35backed No | 64c | 5,433$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 63c | 5,395$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 3c | 5,282$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 18c | 5,270$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.37 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d54…b83abacked Yes | 8c | 5,109$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eac…d2b8backed Yes | 14c | 5,053$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…5d4fbacked No | 42c | 5,023$2,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 29c | 4,976$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88dc…eb22backed Yes | 25c | 4,954$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed No | 76c | 4,925$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…be8cbacked Yes | 44c | 4,877$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 44c | 4,867$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…c01abacked No | 70c | 4,779$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 26c | 4,744$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.56 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26f…fa03backed Yes | 10c | 4,708$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 21c | 4,671$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.44 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…3f73backed No | 68c | 4,624$3,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…5cfdbacked Yes | 12c | 4,456$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 68c | 4,450$3,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.22 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed No | 74c | 4,295$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe362…bd00backed No | 74c | 4,292$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,220$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…61fdbacked No | 76c | 4,199$3,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Yes | 60c | 4,182$2,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,508.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…ad18backed No | 73c | 4,150$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.