Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c2759b6cd5453d11a0e01d210a8394af66542734f5b9f3ee3e2da30777ed8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $817,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $745,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $817,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6058…d286backed No | 80c | 39,795$31,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,127.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…c36fbacked Yes | 5c | 33,389$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 20cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 20c | 23,116$4,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,541.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Yes | 10c | 20,753$2,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,101.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 20,189$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.5 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fc0…843dbacked Yes | 16c | 15,869$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…dc83backed Yes | 10c | 15,703$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.82 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…c76fbacked Yes | 22c | 15,009$3,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,344.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9636…1f74backed No | 78c | 12,750$9,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,865.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…58dbbacked Yes | 4c | 12,483$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 16c | 12,441$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 77c | 11,160$8,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,552.53 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 9c | 10,689$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.25 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 77c | 10,436$8,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,402.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…fa3fbacked Yes | 3c | 9,999$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 22c | 9,705$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,135.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 3c | 9,662$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ad…e148backed Yes | 4c | 7,777$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ee…c453backed Yes | 13c | 7,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…650bbacked Yes | 2c | 7,215$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 18c | 7,076$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.36 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c6…fb6abacked Yes | 6c | 6,882$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…7fd3backed Yes | 20c | 6,565$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 21c | 6,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0f6ebacked Yes | 14c | 5,750$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 11c | 5,632$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.14 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…aa69backed No | 79c | 5,603$4,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bb…35e5backed Yes | 23c | 5,526$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…9368backed Yes | 24c | 5,509$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7816…ce35backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…29aebacked Yes | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…4f22backed Yes | 8c | 4,917$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 18c | 4,909$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…1df8backed Yes | 18c | 4,812$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 4,761$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.56 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 74c | 4,439$3,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…8280backed Yes | 20c | 4,292$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…4b36backed Yes | 15c | 4,238$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 13c | 3,924$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.2 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 24c | 3,696$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.15 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 4c | 3,537$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 15c | 3,492$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.41 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 4c | 3,309$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 9c | 3,194$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.77 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc2…597abacked Yes | 1c | 3,075$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe352…f259backed Yes | 4c | 3,000$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…bc10backed Yes | 5c | 2,858$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 15c | 2,853$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.26 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…1cb4backed Yes | 1c | 2,849$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 4c | 2,791$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 12c | 2,555$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.34 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 13c | 2,423$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…e2ebbacked Yes | 4c | 2,220$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,018$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 31cpaid | -87%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e9…150dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,996$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa2…6a1bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,976$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…80c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,926$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,891$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 77c | 1,882$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.44 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.37per pick | 33cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,775$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.25 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ff…55bdbacked No | 76c | 1,710$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 13c | 1,700$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…befabacked Yes | 23c | 1,695$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,640$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b30…84ccbacked Yes | 4c | 1,576$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked Yes | 18c | 1,562$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.3 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…d5e4backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.23 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…a171backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f2…212ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5b3abacked Yes | 7c | 1,457$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…9d0fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,420$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 16c | 1,363$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.75 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ae…6264backed Yes | 4c | 1,277$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,267$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a66…3dbabacked Yes | 4c | 1,264$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.43 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…fb65backed Yes | 11c | 1,261$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac9…155abacked Yes | 20c | 1,251$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 11c | 1,250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 14c | 1,237$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x381f…bc99backed Yes | 15c | 1,214$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,213$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.61 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed No | 79c | 1,200$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…f622backed Yes | 16c | 1,173$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf961…62bbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,161$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 77c | 1,154$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 10c | 1,100$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Yes | 9c | 1,069$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…68abbacked Yes | 16c | 1,066$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 4c | 1,056$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…f425backed Yes | 17c | 1,047$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 20c | 1,017$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 2c | 1,005$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.89 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c7…191abacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…d536backed Yes | 7c | 943.35$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.