Venezuela · resolved market
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4d083666a4637974bdc4ecde5b8160a5719e22ab4ff7c167e2ebb023fc8bc3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $941,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $943,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $941,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 263 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 2c | 85,368$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.81 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 0c | 26,929$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.66 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd10…a689backed Yes | 2c | 23,257$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 2c | 22,285$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.79 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 1c | 22,236$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 1c | 18,998$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.67 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…1713backed Yes | 4c | 18,329$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd95…8c17backed Yes | 6c | 16,910$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.59 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,001$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,054$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 2c | 11,038$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 1c | 11,035$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 5c | 9,592$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.73 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86d1…2bddbacked Yes | 3c | 9,567$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56db…750bbacked Yes | 2c | 8,488$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 3c | 8,412$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 1c | 7,050$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf969…7ce8backed Yes | 1c | 6,970$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Yes | 6c | 6,912$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.73 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 16cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb3…5a71backed Yes | 2c | 6,732$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 0c | 6,667$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 3c | 6,085$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dba…172fbacked Yes | 2c | 4,997$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 21cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 1c | 4,974$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 6c | 4,907$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +225.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…b038backed Yes | 2c | 4,598$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked Yes | 2c | 4,433$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,221$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.48per pick | 21cpaid | +234.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 1c | 4,204$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…6092backed Yes | 2c | 4,192$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede5…7802backed Yes | 6c | 4,121$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 23cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…3017backed Yes | 5c | 4,064$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb401…df2abacked Yes | 1c | 4,061$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 2c | 3,900$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a01…fcacbacked Yes | 2c | 3,691$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 3c | 3,518$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc44d…e5ccbacked Yes | 7c | 3,174$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 2c | 3,054$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 2c | 2,906$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486a…8a09backed Yes | 3c | 2,630$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,600$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 14c | 2,547$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.51 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 1c | 2,496$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…c932backed Yes | 23c | 2,483$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5273…d975backed Yes | 1c | 2,429$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 46 | 0%0 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…4a59backed Yes | 14c | 2,297$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0509…6e98backed Yes | 1c | 2,286$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 3c | 2,247$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9aa…bb40backed Yes | 5c | 2,112$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ae…c3afbacked Yes | 2c | 2,104$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd1…a151backed Yes | 17c | 2,059$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 1c | 2,005$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x09f0…1e82backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3680…a456backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c2…e2c4backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Yes | 16c | 2,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…fc51backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,988$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.19 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0429…df8fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,861$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…509cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,803$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde31…4f59backed Yes | 2c | 1,779$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fe…79c1backed Yes | 5c | 1,772$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a89…b868backed Yes | 16c | 1,757$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…3ad4backed Yes | 20c | 1,730$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 3c | 1,683$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 1c | 1,658$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25b…82d0backed Yes | 5c | 1,517$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,503$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…72b6backed Yes | 7c | 1,478$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.95 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,453$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x731d…32c9backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…906cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 14c | 1,412$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.45 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…a683backed Yes | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…482ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,284$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8660…7a93backed Yes | 2c | 1,260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…481bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,253$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4659…8a38backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 18c | 1,231$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 7c | 1,227$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfda2…c52bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…45e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,191$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…8693backed Yes | 5c | 1,170$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…d66fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 2c | 1,128$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ad…c8e3backed Yes | 9c | 1,109$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 20cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…0b69backed Yes | 3c | 1,089$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…975ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 24cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…9232backed Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed Yes | 3c | 1,060$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 15cpaid | +210.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 2c | 1,021$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8204…56eabacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +159.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…ed1abacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?this page
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by June 30, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 1?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 23?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 25?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 26?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 3?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 24?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 27?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No won
- US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.