TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x95da…60b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
128
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST3250%16 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+177.8%+$32
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+132.6%+$36.9
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.6%+$18.52
Rockets vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+254.9%+$131.07
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+36.7%+$54.12
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$18.96
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Knicks vs. Timberwolvesbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Mavericksbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$72
Bulls vs. Hawksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST+66.7%+$20
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Nets vs. 76ersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+72.3%+$68.31
Magic vs. Warriorsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41.57
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+93.2%+$60.16
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Wizards vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$14.11
Knicks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. 76ersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+108.4%+$112.38
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$22.64
Lakers vs. Raptorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+122.2%+$18.51
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$10.81
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$17.15
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-55.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$83.83
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$52.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+140.9%+$65.41
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+53.9%+$12.12
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+153.7%+$44.57
Will Trump say "Abraham" during Saudi Investment Forum on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+103.2%+$13.42
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$35.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$98
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$82.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$11.31
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.53
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$24.05
All 19 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$23.84
UFC Fight Night: Charrière vs. Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+63.9%+$11.62
UFC Fight Night: Green vs. Gibson Jr. (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Gibson Jr. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$39
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+58.7%+$10.57
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$27.86
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$17.11
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
UFC 323: Vettori vs. Ferreira (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$51.07
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Weili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$18.92
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$10
UFC 322: Brady vs. Morales (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Morales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+135.3%+$53.58
UFC 322: Kopylov vs. Rodrigues (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Kopylov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18.89
UFC 322: Cortez vs. Blanchfield (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Cortez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+102.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$17.48
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.69
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+220.4%+$96.68
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will the government shutdown end November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+1,402.2%+$358.41
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$117.67
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick17cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40.35
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$344.24
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$65.01
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$289.77
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$24.9
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+308.3%+$455.17
Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Jara win by 0-3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+178%+$102.74
Will José Antonio Kast win between 24% and 28% of votes in the first round?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$226.73
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$327.89
Will Russia capture Siversk by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$17.2
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$56.26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$31.04
NATO downs another Russian drone by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.01
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$130.76
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$61
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+81.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
James Madison vs. Oregonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$36
James Madison vs. Oregon: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+72.4%+$15.08
UCF vs. BYUbacked UCF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.32
Blues vs. Devilsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$17.06
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+28.2%+$12.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.