Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad2bced01b836efe8502b9af9971ae8e2753a0a2d6975309706be1683473e37e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Yes | 9c | 3,007$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…1737backed Yes | 2c | 2,934$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 12c | 2,544$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.65 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…391bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,427$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…40c2backed Yes | 5c | 1,709$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 15c | 1,660$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.25 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf221…2575backed Yes | 6c | 1,561$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x706c…7752backed Yes | 1c | 1,518$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…50a2backed Yes | 12c | 1,466$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.51 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 11c | 1,413$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.16 | 404 | 33.7%136 W · 268 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 62c | 1,391$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,309$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e4…63dabacked Yes | 7c | 1,282$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9591…19abbacked Yes | 5c | 1,273$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…358fbacked No | 61c | 1,145$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 75c | 1,025$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb74e…e0a6backed Yes | 39c | 1,022$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466a…3d87backed No | 77c | 977.62$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Yes | 7c | 934.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 26c | 919.47$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.31 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc18…cb94backed No | 61c | 897$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 61c | 872$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed No | 61c | 868$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.52 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…2c33backed Yes | 8c | 859.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b6…ba85backed Yes | 39c | 850$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf728…1e11backed Yes | 28c | 838.27$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 38c | 808$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.04 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79f…662ebacked No | 60c | 749.6$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…dbd4backed Yes | 39c | 713$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…69d8backed Yes | 14c | 692.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…49f3backed Yes | 37c | 601$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 39c | 598$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0836…5a7abacked Yes | 36c | 547.87$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Yes | 4c | 539.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 61c | 535$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 39c | 527$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 14c | 524.11$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked Yes | 38c | 513$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.33 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed Yes | 39c | 498$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…2d87backed No | 61c | 498$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e27…7ae6backed No | 71c | 488.11$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…3360backed Yes | 4c | 468.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 77c | 460.02$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.58 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…e3b4backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 59c | 452.14$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.07 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 39c | 450$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.5 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 5c | 435.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 33c | 427.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…4f6cbacked Yes | 19c | 427.07$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.14 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 39c | 415$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4522…897ebacked Yes | 58c | 397.03$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 52c | 380$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…4f4cbacked Yes | 26c | 368.63$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +111%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0d…835bbacked Yes | 14c | 362.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…3227backed Yes | 45c | 357.25$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 57c | 353.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.56 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 72c | 351.38$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked No | 61c | 349$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…ab9dbacked Yes | 9c | 346.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…b3f0backed No | 60c | 334.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.84 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…0959backed Yes | 39c | 332$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed No | 61c | 332$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed Yes | 16c | 331.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked Yes | 21c | 325.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 43c | 323.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…536abacked Yes | 27c | 322.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…9b75backed Yes | 7c | 308.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5940…30e5backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 38c | 299.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7c…4d13backed No | 63c | 297.27$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.25 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +171.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb509…c01dbacked Yes | 49c | 293.33$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 25c | 284.47$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 39c | 278$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319c…4a94backed Yes | 39c | 276$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…0decbacked No | 58c | 259.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…8b45backed No | 66c | 250.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32be…bac4backed Yes | 41c | 243.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…d10fbacked Yes | 16c | 241.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 42c | 238.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed Yes | 42c | 238.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…dea2backed Yes | 9c | 231.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec0b…69e6backed Yes | 44c | 228.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70ef…63b4backed Yes | 54c | 222.04$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 65c | 214$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.13 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 57c | 199.98$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6578…ba32backed No | 63c | 198$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 64c | 189.05$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec9…3e46backed Yes | 37c | 189$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…9b4ebacked Yes | 16c | 188.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked No | 63c | 187$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d75…a294backed No | 56c | 169.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29af…2473backed No | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9532…fba3backed Yes | 12c | 162.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1e…1212backed No | 77c | 158.72$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x833b…d4bbbacked Yes | 45c | 156.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 12c | 155.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 37c | 144.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.95 | 159 | 43.4%69 W · 90 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.