Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e43e25cf62aa955fbc4c2b76c95059fd030f0ade9f862d85e04ec6bc362747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 8c | 6,953$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.79 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 19c | 6,000$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.76 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 76c | 5,244$3,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.77 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 12c | 2,875$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.7 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…612ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,778$1,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.78 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 10c | 2,741$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.02 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…0581backed No | 7c | 2,585$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 7cpaid | +413.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…77dbbacked No | 15c | 2,521$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.76 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ac…ebacbacked No | 4c | 2,386$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 2cpaid | +3,603.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 11c | 1,740$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.23 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…6c5dbacked No | 3c | 1,560$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed No | 7c | 1,361$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.49 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…cb1ebacked No | 17c | 1,289$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.84 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 15c | 1,085$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.03 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 8c | 950.16$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 827.04$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.21 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed No | 2c | 750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1b…2552backed No | 49c | 679.24$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 61c | 641.31$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.73 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked No | 2c | 588.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed No | 22c | 587.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…b73ebacked No | 53c | 510.35$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d9…11b2backed Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…0aabbacked No | 15c | 490.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 56c | 482.29$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.28 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ba…a074backed No | 12c | 469.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 15c | 454.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.59 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…7701backed No | 23c | 452.72$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…afb1backed No | 36c | 450$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.62 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 45c | 421.4$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed Yes | 70c | 416.12$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.53 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…5a15backed No | 29c | 406.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 61c | 393.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 28c | 354.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…8527backed Yes | 79c | 338.17$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 71c | 333.81$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cc…0009backed No | 60c | 331.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 59c | 307.48$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.46 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aad…4245backed No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb12…6ce1backed No | 17c | 293.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…d808backed No | 17c | 275.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be2…49d4backed No | 6c | 254.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…87ccbacked Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…49b1backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…b3c4backed Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fa…8096backed Yes | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 32c | 238.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b6…00dfbacked No | 5c | 234.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked No | 17c | 231.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…6aaabacked No | 22c | 226.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked No | 11c | 217.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…d868backed No | 14c | 210.27$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcff…2a59backed Yes | 73c | 204.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +10.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d51…6f1fbacked No | 25c | 192.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 67c | 190$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.26 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…4d9fbacked No | 18c | 188.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 64c | 176.46$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 40c | 170$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 13c | 160$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 76 | 18.4%14 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77f8…73dabacked No | 30c | 159.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 53c | 150$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf2…3343backed No | 20c | 143.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 25c | 141.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc923…7154backed No | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed No | 47c | 133.6$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…a200backed No | 17c | 117.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 44c | 113.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.79 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc479…e938backed No | 15c | 111.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…9e25backed No | 13c | 111.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992f…7a1abacked No | 23c | 101.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac8f…feddbacked Yes | 79c | 101.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 210 | 34.3%72 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 13c | 97.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 35c | 95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed No | 70c | 93.6$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ea…6083backed No | 14c | 93.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…227bbacked Yes | 51c | 91.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…29fdbacked No | 47c | 87.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…f39fbacked No | 69c | 87.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 57c | 74.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…255bbacked No | 61c | 73.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 60c | 70.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…93abbacked No | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed No | 25c | 66.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…a1cfbacked No | 61c | 65.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4a…5d8ebacked No | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…b53cbacked No | 59c | 62.71$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.