Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043b8355411fbb9d7a07fc91c74955f6c31a27c89b9de05c6dbf214a300ee4a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,818
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,818 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a0…f065backed Yes | 67c | 14,432$9,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,601.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 36c | 5,364$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,427.7 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 74c | 4,865$3,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 20c | 4,213$838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.74 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…95b1backed Yes | 58c | 3,817$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 43c | 2,478$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.31 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 32c | 2,165$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.59 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed Yes | 1c | 1,520$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed No | 77c | 1,511$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.02 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…26aebacked Yes | 10c | 1,289$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 50 | 10%5 W · 45 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fc…694dbacked Yes | 60c | 1,090$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…ec12backed No | 32c | 1,016$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.41per pick | 39cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed No | 29c | 1,013$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb244…95fbbacked No | 42c | 996.56$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.36 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0d…ff14backed No | 35c | 977.45$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.37 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3dc…889bbacked No | 36c | 974$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 34c | 968.64$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.86 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked Yes | 11c | 951.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed7…e255backed No | 77c | 951.16$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 3c | 919.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 71c | 904.99$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.8 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…61fdbacked No | 37c | 843$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed No | 39c | 771.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.53 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f36…4f21backed Yes | 3c | 748.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 54c | 727.5$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.85 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…ddaabacked No | 35c | 668.66$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.66 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 54c | 660.37$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.69 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da5…25edbacked No | 29c | 655.34$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 19c | 611.77$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.16 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 26c | 570.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.08 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f20…1855backed No | 24c | 523.8$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…be57backed Yes | 64c | 513$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b10…e48fbacked Yes | 72c | 467.21$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1022…d9d1backed Yes | 30c | 464.1$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…771dbacked Yes | 64c | 461$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked No | 54c | 460.19$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c7…f199backed No | 47c | 453$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 445.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7330…ea0abacked Yes | 6c | 431.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed No | 48c | 420.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.98 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 70c | 402.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.41 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 23c | 401.38$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.16 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 53c | 398$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 53c | 378$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…72f1backed No | 27c | 375.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +265.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…492fbacked No | 27c | 366.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +83%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…625abacked Yes | 70c | 330.34$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 54c | 326.01$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.85 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 27c | 320$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 70c | 318.81$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 45c | 312.4$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…ee32backed No | 49c | 303.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ea…e3e3backed No | 33c | 302.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…5ba0backed No | 40c | 300.74$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 21c | 300$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.08 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a17…6348backed Yes | 74c | 284.28$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 15c | 275.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed No | 37c | 268.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…a535backed Yes | 14c | 265.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed Yes | 55c | 262$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 26c | 260.88$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.97 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 70c | 260.35$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…b16bbacked Yes | 57c | 259.31$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed No | 39c | 254.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…8bd6backed No | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 31c | 249.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.04 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e55…59d2backed Yes | 51c | 239.85$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8f…dd80backed No | 29c | 238.15$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +240.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No | 46c | 230$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked No | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 22c | 219.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.93 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe43b…3497backed No | 46c | 219$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 47c | 213.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a5…874dbacked No | 39c | 212.77$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed No | 48c | 211$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 38c | 210$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.26 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 51c | 204$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf710…5686backed No | 30c | 203.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…3b9ebacked No | 49c | 203.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf06d…db77backed No | 45c | 203$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5b…942dbacked No | 50c | 200.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe353…a4e3backed No | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fa…315fbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 67c | 199.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 322 | 43.5%140 W · 182 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983d…933fbacked Yes | 66c | 196.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed Yes | 54c | 196$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…41f9backed Yes | 11c | 191$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab4…d172backed No | 47c | 190.72$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876e…e2ffbacked Yes | 72c | 182.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.11 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 46c | 181$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed No | 50c | 179$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeeb…c91abacked No | 79c | 177.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…172cbacked Yes | 62c | 176.96$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.52 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed Yes | 49c | 176$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 51c | 167$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 54c | 166$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb979…6297backed No | 31c | 160.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.