Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7367efa0c2d9e6b274155420822131c5e69910232b199bec23e14ca73918c526
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked No | 0c | 11,108$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd98…cc33backed No | 0c | 7,582$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 0c | 7,260$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 4,170$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked No | 1c | 2,920$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed No | 2c | 2,853$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…edf2backed No | 2c | 2,588$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 72c | 2,058$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.78 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6039…03a0backed No | 1c | 2,049$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed No | 1c | 2,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 24c | 827.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…a960backed No | 1c | 708.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…9837backed No | 2c | 660.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 28c | 657$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed No | 7c | 650$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.58 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a22…138ebacked No | 2c | 625$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 31c | 501.85$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.85 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 45c | 490.07$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 69c | 483.76$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 14c | 429.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae8…0e50backed No | 6c | 428.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…9ad6backed Yes | 54c | 367$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +10.0wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed No | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed Yes | 60c | 342.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.9 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 22c | 338.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.96 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 42c | 334$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.56 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d2febacked No | 3c | 328$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed No | 5c | 305.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 28c | 300$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…f132backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…e7d6backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 18c | 211.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…9d86backed Yes | 73c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 30c | 177.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 24c | 177.83$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…af22backed No | 32c | 156.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +64%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 35c | 146.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.58 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 72c | 139.9$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…f1eabacked No | 76c | 132.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…ef77backed No | 40c | 125.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…2030backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 30cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…4580backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe277…8e46backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 69c | 99.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa09…cde0backed Yes | 46c | 94.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked Yes | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed No | 61c | 81.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…e61abacked Yes | 59c | 79$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 71.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 38c | 70$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 70c | 64.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 65c | 61.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…e967backed Yes | 28c | 60.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e37…2273backed No | 76c | 58.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 59c | 51.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…c2d6backed No | 60c | 49.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…b538backed Yes | 44c | 47.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…56b3backed No | 71c | 46.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aea…ee37backed No | 62c | 44.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…eb87backed Yes | 40c | 42.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc58…1dffbacked No | 37c | 41.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…6dd2backed No | 52c | 41.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8db…bbddbacked Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…11a1backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed No | 50c | 39.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…9b78backed No | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…c46bbacked No | 64c | 32.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…586fbacked No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42e7…43bdbacked No | 62c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbb…bdd0backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…cba5backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1299…21b1backed Yes | 50c | 28.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 64c | 28.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…29f5backed No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc335…8502backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 60c | 23.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd185…f969backed No | 54c | 22.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf8…1fa4backed Yes | 53c | 20.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…d3e0backed No | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…3b66backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 67cpaid | -71%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…1493backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…a6b7backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d4…0fe2backed No | 73c | 17.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.