Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0786b17c5d4f08441768b730ef4b89c05d988545d87f9bd3c1ccc06aefb1b46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 56c | 6,692$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.49 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 23c | 3,272$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.56 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed No | 14c | 3,004$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.2 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 1c | 2,131$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 22c | 1,712$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.75 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…145bbacked No | 53c | 1,674$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked No | 42c | 1,594$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.44 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed No | 7c | 1,545$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.62 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed No | 39c | 1,257$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…36f4backed No | 55c | 1,212$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 19c | 1,207$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.6 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed No | 10c | 1,200$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.2 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf748…77dbbacked No | 23c | 1,021$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 40c | 901.85$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.85 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 43c | 776.56$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.11 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed Yes | 54c | 746.58$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.58 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…4373backed No | 67c | 740$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…a882backed Yes | 60c | 711.68$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.48 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…6b11backed Yes | 42c | 699.17$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 34c | 606.32$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…c4c0backed Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed No | 58c | 562.88$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed No | 24c | 509.86$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked Yes | 59c | 500$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked No | 7c | 448.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…08d6backed No | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 58c | 399.99$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed No | 46c | 383$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x150a…e004backed Yes | 59c | 378.88$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed Yes | 71c | 371.75$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 72c | 366.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.73 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Yes | 56c | 359.9$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.06 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…e89ebacked Yes | 80c | 354.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 37c | 350$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43b3…6193backed Yes | 74c | 340$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x711c…8495backed No | 47c | 323.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.94 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…e83bbacked Yes | 31c | 306.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +147.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 66c | 300.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 21c | 266.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed No | 5c | 261.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 68c | 256.75$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed No | 45c | 255.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.74 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…385dbacked No | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed No | 4c | 240$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d99…4ca3backed No | 60c | 237.22$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…6007backed Yes | 78c | 216$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.38 | 211 | 60.7%128 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…7495backed Yes | 76c | 214.82$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…8919backed Yes | 45c | 209.04$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.21 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 26c | 199.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 76c | 199.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…605abacked No | 16c | 194.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…f3e6backed No | 56c | 190.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.59 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8972…ab4bbacked Yes | 67c | 185$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…97a2backed No | 65c | 176.63$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43db…9871backed Yes | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7e…a211backed No | 24c | 168.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 74c | 161$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.73 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc850…a960backed No | 35c | 143.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…4036backed No | 35c | 141.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…ee94backed No | 53c | 136.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 22c | 134.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…43eabacked Yes | 50c | 134$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 43c | 128$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 65c | 124.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…8d61backed No | 19c | 116.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 61c | 112.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 66c | 106.47$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.33 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 19c | 101.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8ae5backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49f1…fe4ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877d…eebbbacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 67c | 99.51$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 102 | 34.3%35 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 27c | 98.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e6…45f8backed Yes | 36c | 88.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +417.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 46c | 83.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 83.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.83 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3dc…ce0bbacked No | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked No | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…e543backed No | 40c | 77.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 45c | 75.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc62a…29bdbacked Yes | 37c | 70.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 37c | 70$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95da…60b4backed No | 33c | 66.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 50c | 65.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed No | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed No | 35c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed Yes | 68c | 64.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf5…69b6backed No | 42c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60d…ad82backed No | 54c | 57.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 65c | 53.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 76c | 46.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 202 | 47%95 W · 107 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…4553backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +216.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 40c | 44.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…4a71backed Yes | 58c | 42.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…0b31backed No | 46c | 42.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…7aafbacked No | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 94 | 10.6%10 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa433…67ccbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6537…b9debacked Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.