Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b5b15d7b40df4074e59e521b93f6ec52b468ba28a673bc2682dd34adffdf44c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,948
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 1c | 2,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.16 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,025$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 16c | 600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…227bbacked Yes | 42c | 577.56$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…90f4backed Yes | 8c | 517.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf030…27bfbacked Yes | 5c | 513.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 508.49$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.77 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f6…4049backed Yes | 2c | 476.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 12c | 472.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.89 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 72c | 470.83$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fe…4716backed Yes | 3c | 431.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c79…99bcbacked Yes | 4c | 425.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 4c | 410$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 405.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed Yes | 5c | 383.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef6…4daebacked Yes | 23c | 382.88$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.57 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 5c | 367.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 46c | 359.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 5c | 356.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 65c | 355.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.78 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 15c | 335.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4587…1922backed No | 64c | 320.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed No | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 176 | 46.6%82 W · 94 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 46c | 300$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 458 | 43.7%200 W · 258 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d5…c4c0backed No | 51c | 274$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 33cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…fc2dbacked No | 79c | 256.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 12c | 250$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…43d9backed Yes | 5c | 238.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…e61abacked Yes | 9c | 234.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bc…026cbacked Yes | 43c | 231.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 30.3%30 W · 69 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe7…d95abacked No | 48c | 209.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.37 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 33c | 192.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…283abacked Yes | 60c | 185.48$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.85 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 39c | 157$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 35c | 142.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 427 | 38.9%166 W · 261 L | +30.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…a0d7backed Yes | 45c | 135.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed No | 65c | 117.06$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa5…3f52backed No | 69c | 104.34$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 51c | 103.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 36c | 100.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 25c | 99.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 27c | 95.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c19…f9cdbacked Yes | 46c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 60c | 86.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4c…6f0ebacked Yes | 48c | 82.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa11c…261bbacked No | 56c | 79.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…eac7backed No | 64c | 78.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 15c | 77.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x705c…8fe1backed No | 67c | 75.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…29fdbacked No | 42c | 68.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f5…8f3cbacked Yes | 30c | 67.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +13.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2eca…b53cbacked No | 58c | 60.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 57c | 54.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 39c | 53.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd8…31a4backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…383abacked No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc6…1a7dbacked Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abc…a604backed No | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87e…fd1cbacked Yes | 44c | 38.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…09f4backed No | 67c | 37.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…e1c7backed Yes | 43c | 36.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…658ebacked No | 59c | 35.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…0887backed Yes | 36c | 34.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53de…d34bbacked Yes | 51c | 30.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…b071backed No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a8…6e67backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca03…72e9backed No | 66c | 29.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed Yes | 39c | 28.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…6d7fbacked Yes | 42c | 27.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked Yes | 44c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf09c…91fbbacked No | 59c | 25.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb2…abeabacked No | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…60acbacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0489…ddf7backed No | 80c | 24.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 288 | 27.8%80 W · 208 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e132backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…de5ebacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f0…0e43backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…af02backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.