Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57a1c7cdeeee4aa3e93d69c7e7b66632c3b9efe8caef35d13c2a3a6c5fed0d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 66c | 1,498$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.31 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,366$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7854…90a5backed No | 74c | 1,095$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.59 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43a0…175dbacked Yes | 63c | 1,068$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5664…f163backed No | 77c | 972.19$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.71 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 23c | 892.01$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.83 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038b…afc4backed No | 13c | 848.41$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.42 | 96 | 26%25 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…5f34backed Yes | 73c | 674$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.34 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 62c | 555.09$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.88 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db9…a43bbacked Yes | 21c | 553.02$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.51 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…054bbacked No | 35c | 464.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f0…d8a0backed Yes | 23c | 449.55$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67b…5780backed No | 58c | 418$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 382 | 47.6%182 W · 200 L | +37.1wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…f843backed Yes | 73c | 356.51$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 42c | 330.49$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.18 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 12c | 330.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…20f5backed No | 42c | 310.62$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 213 | 33.8%72 W · 141 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 40c | 270.58$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…72b9backed No | 38c | 267.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed No | 25c | 260.77$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.75 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked No | 54c | 258.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0a…5f58backed No | 55c | 254.13$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…0a2bbacked No | 21c | 237.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 17c | 212.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6bca…b60abacked Yes | 43c | 212.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 56c | 209.81$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 41c | 209.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.16 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…4811backed No | 38c | 205.39$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked No | 42c | 204$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…7495backed Yes | 67c | 200$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…42cebacked No | 14c | 189.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…4af7backed Yes | 72c | 174.06$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.19 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…6934backed Yes | 12c | 170.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…e7c6backed No | 49c | 168.62$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a7…6d60backed No | 30c | 167.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…2d16backed Yes | 31c | 159.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…2a12backed Yes | 13c | 151.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 70c | 143.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…236fbacked No | 28c | 140.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +263.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed No | 75c | 135.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.51 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854e…8ad8backed No | 74c | 134.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e51…ca50backed Yes | 15c | 133.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…bfb9backed No | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…e97fbacked Yes | 52c | 120.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2547…937fbacked Yes | 12c | 120$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb93a…251bbacked No | 50c | 111.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 22c | 109.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9a…9738backed No | 53c | 106.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x150a…e004backed Yes | 76c | 104.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5f…4fe7backed No | 49c | 101.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6573…ab02backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…2f92backed Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9221…03a6backed Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…767bbacked Yes | 23c | 87.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdef5…4a71backed Yes | 70c | 84.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf0…4c25backed No | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfa…520dbacked No | 27c | 73.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…d659backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa28c…c290backed No | 48c | 60.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…0d5cbacked Yes | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda9…35c9backed No | 62c | 59.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…ee6dbacked Yes | 49c | 59.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 38c | 57.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…1ee7backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…588bbacked Yes | 39c | 53.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8891…b5fcbacked No | 75c | 49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…6d01backed No | 68c | 46.83$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 25c | 40.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…ecf2backed Yes | 75c | 37.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…dab5backed Yes | 73c | 35.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…10ccbacked No | 77c | 32.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e4…18e1backed No | 42c | 31.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed Yes | 78c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x860f…0a33backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce3…429ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…af7fbacked Yes | 55c | 26.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…fb9cbacked Yes | 76c | 26.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5673…98fdbacked Yes | 66c | 25.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9680…a3debacked Yes | 65c | 22.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed Yes | 53c | 21.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 74c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d4…2c02backed No | 77c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9c…580bbacked No | 52c | 19.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…9465backed No | 75c | 16.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.