Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4919423c3d75aaccc765e97d784c12e493e7e15262ce0d75ed117532bc74110
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,791
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef28…2d50backed No | 4c | 10,000$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.83 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 2c | 8,485$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed No | 2c | 4,406$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.55 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +690.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed No | 1c | 2,781$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed No | 1c | 2,369$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 69 | 8.7%6 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7130…773dbacked No | 2c | 2,011$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 9c | 1,776$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 1c | 1,424$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 12c | 1,332$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…25a8backed No | 3c | 1,135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a8f8backed No | 4c | 1,017$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 6c | 884.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 4c | 870.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1128…cfa5backed No | 5c | 801.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…a2adbacked No | 3c | 755.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…f9f4backed Yes | 71c | 739.62$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.74 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…21d7backed No | 5c | 700$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8d04backed No | 3c | 499.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +156.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 75c | 402.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 28c | 326$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.4 | 353 | 55.5%196 W · 157 L | +36.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed No | 30c | 305$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 153 | 31.4%48 W · 105 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 35c | 300.01$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 24c | 299.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.49 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 24c | 296.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.01 | 409 | 39.6%162 W · 247 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 35c | 282.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.36 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…8072backed No | 75c | 278.25$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.69 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 37c | 269.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.83 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 37c | 268.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.89 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed No | 74c | 260$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…58dfbacked No | 13c | 230$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +11.8wins | +0.38per pick | 14cpaid | +350.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xab7f…d263backed No | 9c | 230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…7e75backed No | 69c | 219.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 52c | 218.71$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…d37cbacked Yes | 38c | 212.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.39 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…b949backed Yes | 35c | 202.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c88…383abacked No | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 65c | 199.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…7b1fbacked No | 78c | 190.89$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 27c | 190$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b9…a226backed Yes | 32c | 189.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.32 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…0cbcbacked No | 77c | 188$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c99…317cbacked No | 75c | 164.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2229…e543backed Yes | 23c | 162.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed No | 56c | 136.66$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 44c | 134.76$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 19c | 132$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c14…08a5backed No | 8c | 128.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…bb12backed Yes | 23c | 127.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…586fbacked No | 71c | 119.23$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 40c | 117.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 25c | 115.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.13 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc039…e2e0backed No | 76c | 115.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.11 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x590a…204abacked No | 67c | 111.43$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef32…4847backed No | 62c | 110$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe408…677fbacked Yes | 46c | 109.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a718backed No | 77c | 108.96$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…0693backed Yes | 28c | 108.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 194 | 28.9%56 W · 138 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2635…41aebacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…2030backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 30cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 95.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed No | 73c | 95$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed No | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…07aabacked Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked Yes | 29c | 77.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…ada5backed No | 70c | 76.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…44d7backed Yes | 35c | 72.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b8…7609backed No | 71c | 72.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa489…bfa2backed Yes | 42c | 70.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d8…7359backed Yes | 25c | 70.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…c505backed No | 72c | 69.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1753…5f48backed No | 74c | 67.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…0af0backed Yes | 33c | 65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3341backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +200.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…b734backed No | 71c | 59.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 72c | 56.77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac6…d659backed Yes | 36c | 55.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -35%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 52.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 22c | 51.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…2a87backed Yes | 31c | 46.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 39c | 45.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 408 | 28.9%118 W · 290 L | -29.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…b538backed No | 69c | 40.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…1380backed Yes | 26c | 39.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…11a1backed No | 76c | 39.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb473…e9c9backed No | 76c | 35.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…76cabacked No | 78c | 34.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…dd78backed Yes | 40c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…29f5backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…9077backed No | 62c | 33.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…d3e0backed No | 76c | 32.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c53…c46bbacked No | 69c | 30.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3475…eea8backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5593…c513backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d44…b081backed No | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…4ed2backed No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed No | 76c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5d…9ea3backed No | 62c | 26.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 65cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 78cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.