Middle East · resolved market
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc947efecf55bd991ca17d6302be8ddf4141459033b048241f209412e15b11c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $156,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $175,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfe0…783dbacked No | 5c | 13,269$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b22…32d5backed No | 1c | 10,589$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…be8ebacked No | 0c | 5,262$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…d749backed No | 0c | 3,868$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 66 | 0%0 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…ae77backed No | 1c | 3,647$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f509backed No | 2c | 2,362$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed No | 11c | 2,180$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.8 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 8cpaid | +242.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…4f6cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,111$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.26 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…3308backed No | 1c | 2,062$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc32…d451backed No | 2c | 1,766$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ea…dc1cbacked No | 2c | 1,517$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 37c | 1,474$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.62 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +110%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6576…f0abbacked No | 62c | 1,466$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed Yes | 37c | 1,452$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 20c | 1,376$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.17 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.20per pick | 19cpaid | +102%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 62c | 1,322$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked No | 13c | 1,230$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41fb…f72ebacked Yes | 38c | 1,218$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 1c | 1,188$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…83d7backed Yes | 37c | 1,128$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…adafbacked No | 1c | 1,035$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…16bbbacked No | 1c | 1,029$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f80…7be8backed Yes | 39c | 1,020$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.09 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed Yes | 37c | 1,003$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 37c | 972$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.36 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 63c | 909$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 19c | 842$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 156 | 25%39 W · 117 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +79.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 37c | 840$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 62c | 830$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…1af4backed No | 1c | 808.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ed…ec87backed No | 63c | 779$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +204.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…7ec6backed No | 63c | 755$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…46cebacked No | 63c | 749$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 37c | 727$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.01 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed Yes | 37c | 712$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0117…7708backed No | 3c | 711.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +587.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa6…3e62backed Yes | 80c | 663$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 313 | 44.1%138 W · 175 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…e125backed No | 2c | 627.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2103…e296backed Yes | 38c | 610$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d20ebacked No | 63c | 601$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d5…1f63backed Yes | 37c | 578$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +129%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed No | 63c | 575$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 63c | 558$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234a…cbffbacked No | 63c | 544$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…78cbbacked Yes | 38c | 544$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 37c | 543$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc4…4a8ebacked Yes | 37c | 542$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed No | 63c | 521$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.23 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes | 38c | 516$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…1563backed No | 3c | 500.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9498…d950backed No | 63c | 496$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.48 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +149%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a2…3dfcbacked No | 63c | 484$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +129.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48a…fcd2backed No | 62c | 477$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 37c | 477$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57f3…cf07backed No | 3c | 469.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 37c | 464$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked No | 63c | 456$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.28 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…0c80backed No | 3c | 447.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 70c | 445.88$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.84 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 63c | 419$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.97 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…fc69backed No | 63c | 402$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9f…0fc9backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 63c | 378$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95cc…f215backed No | 63c | 365$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 63c | 338$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 37c | 333$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 63c | 318$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed No | 63c | 301$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed Yes | 37c | 296$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf738…56bdbacked No | 63c | 280$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf22…5473backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf75c…838dbacked Yes | 37c | 232$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…cd5abacked No | 63c | 217$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.4wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcabd…3764backed Yes | 37c | 209$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 38c | 208$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked No | 63c | 202$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 63c | 183$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…3990backed No | 76c | 154.65$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 61 | 11.5%7 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…e9dbbacked Yes | 37c | 151$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 25c | 150.9$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.73 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +77.8wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +105.8%equal weight | 76+0.24 edge/pick |
| 0xb543…9961backed No | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked No | 63c | 140$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed No | 63c | 122$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 21c | 114.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.21 | 317 | 19.2%61 W · 256 L | -23.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4189…a03bbacked Yes | 27c | 112.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 73c | 110.62$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 222 | 62.2%138 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed No | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 37c | 106$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked Yes | 37c | 102$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.26 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…2f90backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…7de5backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…907bbacked No | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3397…9ec1backed Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…50a5backed No | 70c | 81.34$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.29 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd73…f7adbacked No | 71c | 80$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…ae29backed Yes | 35c | 75.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 171 | 28.7%49 W · 122 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Yes | 28c | 71.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…304dbacked No | 18c | 68.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 63. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?this page
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 12?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 16?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 18?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 1?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 22?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 24?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 25?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 26?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 28?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 29?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 31?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 5?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 8?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on December 9?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 10?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 12?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 13?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 15?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 16?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 17?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 18?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 19?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 1?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 21?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 22?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 23?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 24?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 26?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 27?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 28?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 29?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 30?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 3?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?Yes won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 6?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 7?No won
- Will Israel strike Gaza on November 8?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.