TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xea90…0f8f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
95
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+75.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.12
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$203.61
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$280.54
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$908.85
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$138.32
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$410.32
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$317.22
Will "Silicon Valley" be said 2+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,245.72
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.51
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$713.5
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$204
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+426.3%+$618.03
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$53.69
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+239.6%+$673.09
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$311.57
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+65%+$194.64
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.32
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.95
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$454.92
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.66
Will Hudson Williams attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$134.64
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+122.2%+$640.2
Will Jesse Plemons be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$224.91
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$144.5
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$331.96
Will "Acceptance Speech" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+156.4%+$201.91
Will Michelle Williams (Dying for Sex) win Best Actress – Limited Series at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+257.1%+$421.2
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$270.94
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.91
Will Israel strike 2 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.75
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$399.3
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$89.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$330.19
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$418.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$287.68
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$18.6
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$158.08
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$81.09
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$359.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$127.26
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$25.96
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$93.84
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$463.36
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+420.8%+$990.61
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$71.5
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win more than 43.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$222.11
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.11
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.6
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$197.8
Will Anthony Davis be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$423Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$422.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+24%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$689Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$205.85
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 70 and 80?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+354.5%+$100.62
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$109.16
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$332.76
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+61.3%+$421.8
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$51.29
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.56
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+270.4%+$137.97
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick34cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee United FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+733.3%+$227.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$452.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+296.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+296.8%+$114.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "2026" this week? (January 18)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+233.3%+$445.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketballbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$788.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $200M Hyperliquid buybacks in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$130.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+38.9%+$111.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$95.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthersbacked Blackburn Beavers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$240.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$143
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.