World Politics · resolved market
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0e549927993035a54497268a46f9b0bf95795ba950af58a079516ba6ce73c36
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,906
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,906 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…cb5fbacked Yes | 70c | 1,667$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.12 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 3c | 1,565$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.66 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe961…8dcabacked No | 1c | 1,503$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 4c | 1,412$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.71 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea90…0f8fbacked Yes | 57c | 1,360$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 27c | 1,329$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.64 | 302 | 33.8%102 W · 200 L | +19.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf041…dde5backed Yes | 72c | 1,287$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.29 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 22c | 1,180$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.92 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes | 64c | 1,044$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 3c | 1,026$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64d…5e09backed No | 2c | 892.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 863.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3021…bbcfbacked No | 1c | 827.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 18c | 825.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 765.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 33c | 743.94$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14d7…db87backed Yes | 75c | 734.83$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b9…a6e4backed Yes | 75c | 667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b90…1d17backed Yes | 60c | 659.76$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.51 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6538…9392backed Yes | 75c | 650$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 25c | 629$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 79c | 602$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6f…469fbacked Yes | 75c | 595$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…9d8abacked Yes | 75c | 522.67$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80b2…c753backed No | 3c | 519.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed No | 43c | 482$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fd…ecf7backed Yes | 74c | 472.72$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 3c | 463.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed No | 3c | 460.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 55 | 12.7%7 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3de…5339backed No | 43c | 441$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.29per pick | 37cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked No | 43c | 437$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb44…d3d2backed Yes | 76c | 400$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.26 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429f…42f8backed Yes | 63c | 399.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 70c | 394.53$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…4743backed Yes | 63c | 353.17$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa84…3dc6backed Yes | 61c | 330.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 63c | 317.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.7 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…8eefbacked Yes | 74c | 315.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 27c | 299.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…821ebacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 247.87$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.58 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 37c | 196.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f6…a135backed Yes | 67c | 173.57$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 153.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 27c | 151.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…aef5backed Yes | 74c | 143.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0331…ba65backed No | 44c | 142.8$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 67c | 136$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c1…e164backed No | 37c | 135.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…6c88backed No | 37c | 129.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e91…c64dbacked Yes | 70c | 114.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 26c | 102.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 22c | 102$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 11c | 101.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…9cd4backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 27c | 92.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dd…28e0backed Yes | 64c | 89.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked No | 26c | 81.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcda4…3b8dbacked Yes | 62c | 80.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 34c | 79.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9b7ebacked Yes | 73c | 74.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…96e8backed Yes | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb237…ccb4backed Yes | 73c | 69.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3933…7818backed Yes | 70c | 69.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…4c8abacked Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 26c | 67.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed No | 27c | 65.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…9603backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 70c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked No | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed No | 30c | 53.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bc…8c38backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0169…0096backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…7c9abacked Yes | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4551…3721backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe71…b183backed Yes | 62c | 48.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…24dcbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 24c | 44.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bd…4700backed Yes | 65c | 42.14$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…33b9backed Yes | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…3f91backed Yes | 73c | 34.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked Yes | 75c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f5…7217backed Yes | 65c | 30.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaca…45cbbacked Yes | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…eab3backed Yes | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…eaa4backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f2…8d7abacked Yes | 59c | 27.95$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed No | 48c | 27.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a4…80f4backed Yes | 63c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4859…b08ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…0b93backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf471…f0d8backed Yes | 60c | 23.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…b279backed Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…3dc1backed Yes | 76c | 22.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.37 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbda…4eddbacked Yes | 70c | 21.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +142.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0c…06a5backed Yes | 64c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?this page
- Will Franck Keller be the next mayor of Le Havre?No won
- Will Jean-Paul Lecoq be the next mayor of Le Havre?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.