TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x59fe…14fd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
973
Categories scored
39
Categories below 50
32

Best Category: MLB, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 31.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT57232.9%188 W · 384 L-104.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.9%equal weight31-0.18 edge/pick
Weather — the 572 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 72°F or higher on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$11.29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$4.37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$10.3
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.19
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66%+$11.92
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.39
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+59.9%+$9.37
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$6.02
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 5°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$3.02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.33
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Showing 25 of 572 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6829.4%20 W · 48 L-11.0wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-49.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Middle East — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.74
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+144.5%+$14.54
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$14.95
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$12.96
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+63.5%+$15.86
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$4.13
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+54%+$21.05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.71
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+253.7%+$30.69
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.85
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$25.92
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$24.98
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT5232.7%17 W · 35 L-7.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
World Politics — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.92
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.39
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$7.62
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+217.1%+$34.23
Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.75
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.03
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.44
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.91
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$6.31
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.2
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+292.2%+$29.8
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish second in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+84.4%+$11.69
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win 95 or more seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$3.95
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by <9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$5.24
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT4438.6%17 W · 27 L-6.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.69
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$24.85
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$11.34
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+130.9%+$14.06
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.13
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$11.52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+164.3%+$18.65
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$10.82
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$7.45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$6.33
Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$26.54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$16.01
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$5.34
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+34%+$12.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.76
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.49
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.17
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$3.36
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.93
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$11.31
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$12.55
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3619.4%7 W · 29 L-9.7wins-0.27per pick46cpaid-65.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Movies — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$13.76
Will "Lee Cronin's The Mummy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.79
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.95
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.4
Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.86
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.37
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+146.7%+$26.76
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+123.6%+$32.32
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$17.75
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.7
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.01
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.15
Will "Louis Theroux: Inside The Manosphere" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 26m and 29m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$7.2
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.02
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.01
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT3432.4%11 W · 23 L-7.8wins-0.23per pick55cpaid-47.3%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
AI — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41%+$13.09
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.82
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$9.31
X Money released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+152.2%+$16.57
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+87%+$20.18
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.68
GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$7.86
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
ChatGPT Outage by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.42
ChatGPT Outage by April 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.48
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$8.75
AWS service disrupted by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.84
Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$4.56
Will Jensen Huang say "Alpamayo" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$5.66
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.45
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.97
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33%+$3.72
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.67
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$19.63
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.7
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT2420.8%5 W · 19 L-7.3wins-0.30per pick51cpaid-66.3%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
Tweets — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.3
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.46
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+126.3%+$16.03
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.81
Will White House post 140-159 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$6.52
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.28
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.36
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$11.52
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.72
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+50%+$6.86
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.67
All 24 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT2123.8%5 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick49cpaid-53%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.29
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$26.85
Will Solana dip to $80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$23.26
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.42
Will Solana reach $100 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 March 16-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will XRP reach $1.60 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.44
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+256.2%+$30.9
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 9-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.91
Will XRP reach $1.50 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$3.65
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 2-8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.07
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$28.47
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.54
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 2-8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.06
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L-4.5wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-77.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$7.53
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.45
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.88
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.32
Based FDV above $75M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$10.33
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.26
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.52
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.37
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.71
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.98
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+152.9%+$18.14
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$20.2
Will Russia capture Rodynske by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$12.93
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62%+$26.27
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$6.08
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+71.8%+$7.38
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+137%+$14.45
Will Melissa Conyears Ervin be the Democratic Nominee for IL-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+168.7%+$18.83
Will Kate Abughazaleh be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will Jesse Jackson Jr. be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+154%+$24.1
Will Junaid Ahmed be the Democratic Nominee for IL-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+69.9%+$8.3
Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.72
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.34
All 10 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Stocks — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $170-$175 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.86
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 9 above $100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$4.02
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 9 above $400?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.07
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+48.5%+$10
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $400?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14.67
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $390?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.92
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $660?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 2 above $215?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-80.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Music — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-69.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
F1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-50.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-54.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+148.6%+$26.75
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bilibili Gaming win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will G2 Esports win First Stand 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$12.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paper Rex win Masters Santiago 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$4.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will UCLA win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.