AI · resolved market
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54565a22bea04dfcb9ac48e2d0b00733bddc72b593aae8662628390c69b170ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $153,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $156,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 51c | 8,758$4,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,335.03 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5999…ae94backed Yes | 73c | 7,774$5,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.73 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed Yes | 43c | 7,395$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250.71 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 27c | 7,069$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920.56 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 35c | 6,804$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.85 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 74c | 5,011$3,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.16 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed Yes | 51c | 3,873$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.13 | 117 | 23.9%28 W · 89 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 51c | 3,759$1,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.49 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 39c | 3,423$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.65 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d2…f954backed Yes | 34c | 3,253$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.51 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +13.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 47c | 3,213$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 42c | 2,936$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.89 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 59c | 2,843$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.04 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 49c | 2,447$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.47 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 63c | 2,340$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed Yes | 71c | 2,183$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 55c | 2,124$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.22 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c1…16c0backed Yes | 70c | 2,076$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.26 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e3…81ccbacked Yes | 67c | 1,790$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.66 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 21c | 1,784$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.74 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 47c | 1,759$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.11 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 36c | 1,654$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f73…acefbacked No | 56c | 1,600$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.99 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 74c | 1,592$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.15 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2aa…21fbbacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.44 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…9274backed Yes | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 55c | 1,488$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.28 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 20c | 1,425$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.42 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…c2a7backed Yes | 77c | 1,303$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.86 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…0069backed Yes | 70c | 1,263$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 77c | 1,259$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3462…de48backed Yes | 73c | 1,231$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 60c | 1,035$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.31 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7305…1cb7backed Yes | 76c | 1,010$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…9501backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b2…b90dbacked No | 55c | 990$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…cef6backed Yes | 56c | 914.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.15 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…142ebacked Yes | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.35 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…6b9abacked Yes | 75c | 858.41$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…1f93backed Yes | 41c | 822.31$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 48c | 802.42$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.19 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…7343backed Yes | 62c | 789.36$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed No | 20c | 775$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…f3a3backed No | 75c | 666.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 48c | 654.49$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.98 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…39d8backed Yes | 34c | 639.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.39 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4d17backed Yes | 71c | 638$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.52 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6540…8344backed No | 27c | 561.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c31…1b6bbacked No | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52d1…a073backed No | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 452.66$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.21 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 47c | 433.21$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.77 | 294 | 30.6%90 W · 204 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd98d…1179backed No | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 26c | 375$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed Yes | 69c | 335$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 331.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.04 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 328.82$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.28 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -20.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 59c | 321.7$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.1 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 200 | 3.5%7 W · 193 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…7279backed Yes | 41c | 288.37$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 66c | 287.2$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827e…93febacked Yes | 70c | 286.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…d5dbbacked Yes | 80c | 250$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 73c | 242.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 45c | 240.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.3 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…30d3backed No | 24c | 238$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 48c | 237.34$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 17c | 232.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…a576backed Yes | 56c | 217.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d9…e8c1backed Yes | 75c | 209.02$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…2d1abacked No | 51c | 208.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.96 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 38c | 185.21$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…f77ebacked Yes | 69c | 182.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb242…eb89backed No | 71c | 181.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.06 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -68%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb161…9132backed Yes | 78c | 172.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d3…daffbacked Yes | 44c | 172.15$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 38c | 167$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.95 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 43c | 164.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 137 | 38%52 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…da1fbacked Yes | 80c | 160$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 37c | 160$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc309…bf67backed No | 23c | 152$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…b2a9backed Yes | 63c | 145.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa277…1182backed Yes | 71c | 145.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 70c | 143.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…1afcbacked Yes | 64c | 139.22$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 24c | 138.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 48c | 138.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…4ce2backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…2640backed Yes | 67c | 135.28$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked No | 46c | 135.13$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Microsoft have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.