TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7305…1cb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Cricket, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT2470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+29.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Cricket — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$265.95
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$79.15
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$361.8
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$750Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$543.1
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,220
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$906.09
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,232Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$1,826.18
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$816.9
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$406.96
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$825Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$825
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$418.91
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$1,068.95
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,935Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,935.2
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.99
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,945Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,656.68
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$668Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$265.03
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$3,139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$1,260.17
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$141.86
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$5,171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$1,723.75
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Pakistan: Bangladesh vs Pakistanbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.54
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+224.7%+$691.89
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+212.5%+$680
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-55.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
NBA — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,826Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,826.24
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,019.27
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$656.9
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$558Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$557.52
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$5,592Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,592
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$649Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.88
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.64
Spread: Thunder (-10.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.01
Thunder vs. Suns: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$237.8
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.62
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$382.49
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$181.94
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$575.49
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.4
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$203.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$78.74
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.35
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,476Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,475.89
All 18 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-52.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$449.28
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,266Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,265.84
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$303.17
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+49.1%+$164.56
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,864Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+77%+$1,436.05
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$1,236.27
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$135
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$344.06
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$329.2
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$604.75
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-67.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$450
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.