TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. 76ers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,917,976
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,933,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,917,976 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,933 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers26c897,581$234,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234,620.8887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Celtics74c771,381$571,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199,899.339745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Celtics73c522,318$381,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141,025.765154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Celtics77c429,983$331,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98,896.1420545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c5e…a114backed 76ers26c310,125$80,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80,632.53554.3%19 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics77c294,331$226,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,195.9766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked 76ers23c280,000$64,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,399.9954539.6%216 W · 329 L-28.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacdf…f80abacked 76ers26c278,131$72,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72,314.064656.5%26 W · 20 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f26…1b86backed 76ers23c181,520$41,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,749.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed 76ers26c156,075$40,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,579.4272648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed 76ers23c150,000$34,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,50024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked 76ers27c150,000$40,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,50016841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked 76ers22c146,948$32,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,518.5685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Celtics74c138,892$102,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,101.0710949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Celtics74c131,197$97,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,831.0364948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Celtics74c100,000$74,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f28…266ebacked Celtics77c84,277$65,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,257.173145.2%14 W · 17 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers28c82,847$22,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,826.5836549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics76c64,997$49,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,563.051,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed 76ers25c60,000$14,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,791.411,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked 76ers28c58,578$16,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,401.975036%18 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1961…c461backed 76ers27c58,160$15,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,703.28750.6%44 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers27c55,813$15,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,069.481,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Celtics79c55,237$43,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,867.678953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers27c53,671$14,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,491.0463746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked 76ers23c51,600$11,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,867.9724942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked 76ers26c50,000$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,999.9827424.5%67 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers23c37,762$8,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,711.5369848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27c…7404backed Celtics79c37,492$29,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,956.569100%9 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed 76ers20c34,987$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,086.561,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics74c34,912$25,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,226.064,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked 76ers21c34,123$7,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,148.691,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed 76ers23c29,664$6,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,822.7231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Celtics76c29,496$22,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.268763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics77c29,204$22,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,659.883,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed 76ers27c27,560$7,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,441.219653.6%105 W · 91 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics77c25,038$19,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,758.791,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x207a…5b9cbacked Celtics74c24,610$18,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,398.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed 76ers28c24,357$6,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,805.961915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked 76ers21c23,175$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.898225.6%21 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked 76ers24c22,128$5,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,258.91,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed 76ers27c21,863$5,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,903.012343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked 76ers24c20,830$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,923.9435744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Celtics75c20,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00029055.5%161 W · 129 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Celtics73c19,837$14,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,356.0616346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ebb…cb1abacked 76ers47c18,633$8,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,712.492748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers13c18,446$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,447.0749244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…1366backed Celtics74c17,056$12,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.673336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f8…6699backed 76ers27c16,568$4,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,473.313354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers25c15,675$3,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,881.1466250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Celtics75c15,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7509159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics75c13,788$10,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.3242348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…17febacked Celtics73c13,477$9,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,638.718661.6%53 W · 33 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Celtics72c11,824$8,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.6343352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked Celtics76c11,617$8,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,795.9510645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Celtics78c11,203$8,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.630157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked 76ers24c10,897$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,637.624445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Celtics74c10,762$7,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.751,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked 76ers28c10,542$2,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,951.762,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed 76ers23c10,264$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,384.856459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Celtics74c10,060$7,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.0743438.5%167 W · 267 L-1.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc8…6ca6backed Celtics74c10,000$7,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.22per pick54cpaid+62.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers19c10,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,899.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Celtics75c9,932$7,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,460.8476850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics72c9,822$7,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,756.724,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers28c9,568$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.0437448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Celtics77c8,321$6,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.8410352.4%54 W · 49 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed 76ers19c8,090$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.5925138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b1e…82c9backed 76ers24c7,953$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,908.86243.5%27 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed 76ers19c7,799$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.3322036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b15…9b08backed 76ers27c7,777$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.7810239.2%40 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked 76ers25c7,751$1,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.689330.1%28 W · 65 L-9.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-24.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics74c7,476$5,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,943.6937355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Celtics77c7,321$5,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.1356945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe289…ff0ebacked 76ers28c7,300$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,044.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf139…1d3bbacked Celtics72c7,299$5,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.789355.9%52 W · 41 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers21c7,167$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.531,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Celtics79c7,112$5,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.1618941.8%79 W · 110 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e9b…5a9bbacked Celtics73c6,736$4,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,818.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+191.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed 76ers3c6,703$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.03614.9%3 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed 76ers25c6,521$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.289838.8%38 W · 60 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked 76ers21c6,362$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.1955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Celtics78c6,241$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.0314766%97 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked 76ers28c6,200$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,734.686240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Celtics73c6,048$4,445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,603.1216750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Celtics74c6,016$4,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.8311258.9%66 W · 46 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked 76ers25c5,757$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.6993148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb915…8da5backed Celtics72c5,520$3,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.5410459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Celtics73c5,500$4,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.4865939.5%260 W · 399 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed 76ers18c5,495$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.246060%36 W · 24 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked 76ers17c5,479$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.4810530.5%32 W · 73 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Celtics77c5,459$4,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.4827163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed 76ers23c5,412$1,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,244.742835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Celtics73c5,353$3,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.36258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Celtics76c5,337$4,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed 76ers26c5,191$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.9419937.2%74 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed 76ers20c5,170$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,03420537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aab…c4ddbacked 76ers24c5,129$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.737839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Celtics76c5,027$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.3741954.4%228 W · 191 L+1.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked 76ers1c5,024$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.247211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.