TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$277,983
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$338,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $277,983 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked 76ers54c33,565$18,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,371.4236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Celtics50c19,130$9,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,564.946152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics47c16,364$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.261,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa01f…8f40backed Celtics0c15,370$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.37837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-34.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics51c14,688$7,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,513.2837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26b4…b8a9backed 76ers52c13,965$7,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,680.46459.4%38 W · 26 L+5.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed 76ers48c11,533$5,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,997.1428643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Celtics52c11,309$5,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,880.586043.3%26 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,199.9949244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Celtics51c9,524$4,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,85729650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d96…7c16backed Celtics52c9,338$4,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,856922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick50cpaid-57.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed 76ers49c9,060$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,620.7166250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Celtics51c7,766$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,999.111,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Celtics52c7,725$4,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,035.5293148.4%451 W · 480 L+34.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Celtics45c6,872$3,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,081.5255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed 76ers45c6,752$3,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,713.3659347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked 76ers47c6,500$3,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,444.887144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers49c6,333$3,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,260.3269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed 76ers49c5,494$2,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,801.695050%25 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed 76ers48c4,848$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.8310553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed 76ers49c4,120$2,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,101.175945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 76ers48c4,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08024252.5%127 W · 115 L+18.7wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Celtics51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.9822055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked 76ers62c3,620$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.744252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16bd…e288backed Celtics51c3,333$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.795740.4%23 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Celtics53c3,020$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3515850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe04b…35acbacked Celtics53c3,020$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,600.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed 76ers48c3,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56011864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed 76ers49c2,946$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.931,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Celtics52c2,714$1,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.5317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics51c2,657$1,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,354.981,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked 76ers52c2,170$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,046.491,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Celtics45c1,985$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.3317042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed 76ers48c1,953$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.7314045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d5…8f10backed Celtics54c1,950$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,053.012552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked 76ers52c1,903$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.714640.4%59 W · 87 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea0…8d74backed 76ers49c1,693$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.56616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Celtics52c1,511$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$785.8218444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Celtics51c1,376$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.951,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c6…d14dbacked 76ers40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.9910645.3%48 W · 58 L-8.1wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed 76ers50c1,176$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.8222036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics39c1,161$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.922,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Celtics57c1,029$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.2445146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Celtics55c999.96$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9828056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics50c968.06$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.031,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed 76ers49c943.55$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.1562546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers48c937.6$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.5520744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Celtics52c906.15$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.212542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed 76ers48c886.05$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.754452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers49c859.95$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.4462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2579…9d48backed 76ers49c846.84$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.8919359.6%115 W · 78 L+14.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Celtics51c809.57$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.8825641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics52c773.38$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.164,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c55…97d4backed 76ers49c658.8$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.997452.7%39 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Celtics43c657.24$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.2332045.3%145 W · 175 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Celtics52c654.19$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.182540%10 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed 76ers46c615.66$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.2711153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa406…bd18backed Celtics52c582.72$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed 76ers60c532.21$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8873649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Celtics51c499.26$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0287049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked 76ers49c466.89$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.121154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Celtics53c445.09$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.913852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Celtics39c403.91$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1261638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…d5c3backed 76ers49c400.44$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.231540%6 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Celtics50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Celtics51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20495548.5%463 W · 492 L-3.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed 76ers50c388$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19412536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x46df…b057backed 76ers50c387.81$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.921164.5%136 W · 75 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…7011backed Celtics58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.961947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed 76ers54c334.76$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked 76ers50c333$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Celtics50c326.89$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4510949.5%54 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Celtics7c317.34$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6420838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics52c298.83$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3936248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed 76ers50c290.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9711242%47 W · 65 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked 76ers48c273.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.216743.7%73 W · 94 L-16.6wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Celtics42c256.41$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6989048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed 76ers43c226.95$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.415846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics47c226.24$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8289850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed 76ers49c203.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8215336.6%56 W · 97 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Celtics37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec95…7332backed 76ers49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1914…36f9backed 76ers62c195.58$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc58c…8b7fbacked 76ers49c192.71$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.284738.3%18 W · 29 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed 76ers47c180.23$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5220154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed 76ers49c178.05$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.8181845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb651…4a7cbacked 76ers49c172.12$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.782560%15 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed 76ers55c158.63$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3813342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Celtics52c148.52$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2337344.2%165 W · 208 L-19.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5081…e5acbacked Celtics56c131.45$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9920055.5%111 W · 89 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed 76ers53c124.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.462429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Celtics50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.528838.2%110 W · 178 L-18.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3b…2eb3backed 76ers49c98.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.452860.7%17 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+82.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9c…2a84backed 76ers48c98.8$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.381266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed 76ers48c97.67$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7951946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb91…f1edbacked 76ers50c96.03$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.024969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed 76ers72c92.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7837848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked 76ers49c87.05$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3924250.8%123 W · 119 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd85a…1d03backed 76ers62c86.69$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.947570.7%53 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb120…f2ffbacked Celtics53c81.57$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.235738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 38 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.