TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1914…36f9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst WNBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$20.28
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 4 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.28
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$143
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$39.28
LoL: Team WE vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.85
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+61.4%+$37.48
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+72.2%+$23.69
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.96
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$131.49
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+73.2%+$51.91
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$15.45
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+67.9%+$12.91
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+44.6%+$10.71
All 20 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+37.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$146.38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$658Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$466.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$154.93
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$45.51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+135.5%+$1,009.69
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$269.55
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 23?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+32.3%+$7.21
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+74.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+99.6%+$113.17
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+75.5%+$45.32
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$14.75
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$74.32
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$92.19
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$33.03
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.17
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$5.01
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-53.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$58.37
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+60.5%+$36.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.96
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+70.5%+$60.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.24
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+80%+$14.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$37.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Corentin Moutet vs Pablo Llamas Ruizbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.