Lol · resolved market
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3675d0fa86eaacb6b6a0e0c3c6a7d61c8ad914faf8fcad0b26d5dade4197179a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ThunderTalk Gamingof ThunderTalk Gaming, LNG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $615,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $685,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 414 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed LNG Esports | 70c | 36,164$25,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,314.58 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 31,242$9,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,019.08 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed LNG Esports | 70c | 30,010$21,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,006.58 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 26,142$8,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,001.2 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe96f…ff4bbacked LNG Esports | 63c | 23,448$14,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,729.08 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -10.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 22,912$6,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,038.39 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed LNG Esports | 69c | 20,182$14,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,005.45 | 641 | 55.7%357 W · 284 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f3…37f9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 74c | 16,787$12,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,386.31 | 153 | 56.9%87 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 15,564$7,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,204.3 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2935…96f7backed LNG Esports | 2c | 14,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 68 | 4.4%3 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -61%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LNG Esports | 70c | 11,485$8,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,039.81 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 11,111$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,777.7 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LNG Esports | 69c | 9,951$6,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,866.87 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked LNG Esports | 41c | 9,776$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.15 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 33c | 8,164$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,472.79 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed LNG Esports | 69c | 8,000$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.99 | 151 | 53.6%81 W · 70 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed LNG Esports | 67c | 7,657$5,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,152.97 | 511 | 46.8%239 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe4…e7b2backed LNG Esports | 60c | 7,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 6,845$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,723.01 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 6,533$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,442.96 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 6,001$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.42 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed LNG Esports | 48c | 5,587$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.92 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…ded0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 57c | 5,349$3,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.98 | 316 | 44.3%140 W · 176 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 27c | 5,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,649.99 | 308 | 45.1%139 W · 169 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 63c | 4,652$2,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.35 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bac…6fb7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 4,410$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.56 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed LNG Esports | 46c | 4,289$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.69 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f2…3bc2backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 4,200$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 530 | 47.5%252 W · 278 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 4,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6dd…edafbacked LNG Esports | 41c | 3,929$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,608.63 | 131 | 65.6%86 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 3,925$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.74 | 462 | 63.9%295 W · 167 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed LNG Esports | 65c | 3,900$2,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,540.85 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked LNG Esports | 1c | 3,750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked LNG Esports | 1c | 3,750$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LNG Esports | 65c | 3,575$2,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,334.07 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed LNG Esports | 24c | 3,480$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.37 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7c53backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 78c | 3,417$2,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.47 | 185 | 61.1%113 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked LNG Esports | 64c | 3,391$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.2 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9867…ea53backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 3,193$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.01 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed LNG Esports | 69c | 3,188$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 54c | 3,023$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.35 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 3,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.99 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 2,800$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904 | 219 | 54.3%119 W · 100 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3e5dbacked LNG Esports | 42c | 2,558$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.56 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked LNG Esports | 1c | 2,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5809…9868backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 38c | 2,403$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.09 | 974 | 27.8%271 W · 703 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked LNG Esports | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 28.8%42 W · 104 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked LNG Esports | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed LNG Esports | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fed5backed LNG Esports | 53c | 2,248$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.18 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked LNG Esports | 71c | 2,169$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9d…f409backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 2,151$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.44 | 149 | 30.9%46 W · 103 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 2,067$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.23 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed LNG Esports | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed LNG Esports | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 2,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.98 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 70c | 1,965$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.66 | 219 | 65.8%144 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 29c | 1,944$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.23 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3f…f75dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 1,892$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.89 | 191 | 51.8%99 W · 92 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed LNG Esports | 45c | 1,842$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.98 | 766 | 39.6%303 W · 463 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked LNG Esports | 72c | 1,813$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.68 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,802$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.11 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed LNG Esports | 63c | 1,800$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…b4eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 46c | 1,758$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.85 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 31c | 1,735$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.37 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,674$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.57 | 219 | 48.4%106 W · 113 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LNG Esports | 41c | 1,636$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.33 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed LNG Esports | 45c | 1,589$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.48 | 856 | 52.2%447 W · 409 L | +34.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed LNG Esports | 27c | 1,584$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.61 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 30c | 1,566$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.79 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…cac7backed LNG Esports | 71c | 1,500$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae6…4f85backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 50c | 1,476$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.24 | 672 | 76.9%517 W · 155 L | +87.3wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 42c | 1,446$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.61 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LNG Esports | 67c | 1,440$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.79 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed LNG Esports | 70c | 1,434$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed LNG Esports | 65c | 1,386$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 298 | 46.6%139 W · 159 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked LNG Esports | 72c | 1,327$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.69 | 701 | 62.2%436 W · 265 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LNG Esports | 12c | 1,319$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.3 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 40c | 1,294$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.59 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 36c | 1,293$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.58 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,276$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.7 | 1,305 | 55.9%729 W · 576 L | +44.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2437…432abacked LNG Esports | 68c | 1,263$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.46 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 65c | 1,154$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.3 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 32c | 1,154$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.72 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed LNG Esports | 7c | 1,150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…6cdebacked LNG Esports | 34c | 1,129$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.82 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78db…a291backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 28c | 1,100$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 48c | 1,077$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.3 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba90…b283backed LNG Esports | 21c | 1,062$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.92 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed LNG Esports | 4c | 1,060$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LNG Esports | 65c | 1,055$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.69 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca6a…1a8fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 51c | 1,027$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.41 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d87…e214backed LNG Esports | 15c | 1,020$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 266 | 61.7%164 W · 102 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28fd…00d0backed LNG Esports | 50c | 1,014$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaLNG Esports won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 1 WinnerLNG Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.