TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
ThunderTalk Gamingof LNG Esports, ThunderTalk Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,737
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$41,653

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,737 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2307…3934backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c8,105$4,620 inWon+$3,485.1554353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked LNG Esports43c6,000$2,580 inLost-$2,5801,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked LNG Esports43c5,866$2,498 inLost-$2,497.521,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7df…5eeebacked LNG Esports43c5,847$2,526 inLost-$2,525.6114549.7%72 W · 73 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c4,332$2,469 inWon+$1,862.7638235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming36c1,944$700 inWon+$1,244.4722547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed LNG Esports64c1,748$1,118 inLost-$1,118.4235054.6%191 W · 159 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c1,714$970 inWon+$744.3696250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked LNG Esports43c1,706$733 inLost-$733.418444%37 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming56c999.99$564 inWon+$43636040.6%146 W · 214 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b0a…fe3abacked LNG Esports45c900.15$403 inLost-$403.199738.1%37 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed ThunderTalk Gaming56c892.86$500 inWon+$392.8611753%62 W · 55 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming55c887.99$488 inWon+$399.61,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed ThunderTalk Gaming60c833.33$500 inWon+$333.3332954.4%179 W · 150 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed ThunderTalk Gaming56c800$448 inWon+$3521,15645.1%521 W · 635 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed ThunderTalk Gaming58c689.66$400 inWon+$289.662045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked LNG Esports44c643.18$283 inLost-$28311146.8%52 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c630.99$357 inWon+$274.212,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c500$285 inWon+$21529952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c460$262 inWon+$197.837647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports56c437.82$245 inLost-$245.42,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf78…7736backed LNG Esports43c434.3$188 inLost-$188.176159%36 W · 25 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming31c406$126 inWon+$280.41,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c405.25$231 inWon+$174.2649847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming41c399.98$164 inWon+$236.3914338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked LNG Esports46c374.66$172 inLost-$172.3467552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeed6…ec56backed ThunderTalk Gaming54c370.37$200 inWon+$170.3720649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed ThunderTalk Gaming57c360$205 inWon+$154.88132.1%26 W · 55 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed ThunderTalk Gaming55c347.34$191 inWon+$156.31,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked ThunderTalk Gaming57c340.35$194 inWon+$146.3556744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed LNG Esports43c300$129 inLost-$1291,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed LNG Esports44c288.35$126 inLost-$126.442,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1937…4520backed LNG Esports42c282.98$118 inLost-$117.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed ThunderTalk Gaming62c161.76$100 inWon+$61.761,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe96f…ff4bbacked LNG Esports46c133.47$62 inLost-$61.817838.5%30 W · 48 L-10.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked LNG Esports44c97.64$43 inLost-$42.9625751%131 W · 126 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed ThunderTalk Gaming56c90.07$50 inWon+$40.0160849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked ThunderTalk Gaming52c87.62$46 inWon+$42.0664749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d6…dd38backed ThunderTalk Gaming59c87$51 inWon+$35.672250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed LNG Esports40c69.99$28 inLost-$2847933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked LNG Esports44c68.18$30 inLost-$3049346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming28c59.96$17 inWon+$42.975150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed ThunderTalk Gaming56c58.93$33 inWon+$25.9313154.2%71 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed LNG Esports67c50.48$34 inLost-$33.671,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6926…152dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming60c50.19$30 inWon+$20.1984360.1%507 W · 336 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed LNG Esports45c50$23 inLost-$22.520239.6%80 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c38…fd63backed LNG Esports61c37.77$23 inLost-$23.049564.2%61 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc623…5808backed ThunderTalk Gaming42c37.5$16 inWon+$21.7512446%57 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5b…62c7backed ThunderTalk Gaming58c34.48$20 inWon+$14.4811351.3%58 W · 55 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7004…b7c4backed ThunderTalk Gaming39c33.05$13 inWon+$20.168160.5%49 W · 32 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed LNG Esports47c30$14 inLost-$14.111354%61 W · 52 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4d1…371bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming58c24.28$14 inWon+$10.216853%89 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.