TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x10f9…9d91

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
83
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Gen.G Global Academy (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+209%+$417.98
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: DN SOOPers vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$289.66
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5)backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$312.82
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$575.61
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$890.32
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$119.48
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+205.8%+$808.4
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,705.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+188.5%+$1,131.09
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$669.68
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+179.7%+$718.88
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$276.92
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$126.32
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick33cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+141.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-21.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+326.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+326.5%+$1,762.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga vs. Estoril Praia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$1,138.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$509.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.