NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2037cf38afe466e2f8eedd80864ce31b51bafbb3c963e559d341eb41043895c1

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Pistonsof Pistons, Magic
Resolved: May 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $565,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $649,899

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $565,311 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3de4…b032backed Pistons	50c	81,000$40,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,809.96	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Magic	50c	63,590$31,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,794.92	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Pistons	51c	56,729$28,715 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28,014.63	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Magic	48c	52,432$25,167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,167.46	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Pistons	52c	50,000$26,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,000	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed Pistons	51c	50,000$25,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,499.98	113	33.6%38 W · 75 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…8d26backed Pistons	50c	48,000$24,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24,000	52	53.8%28 W · 24 L	+2.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x820c…cb55backed Magic	49c	29,782$14,593 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,593	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+3.1wins	+0.22per pick	49cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8d5d…191dbacked Magic	49c	21,749$10,657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,657.19	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Magic	49c	20,408$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	59	35.6%21 W · 38 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Magic	51c	19,608$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	209	46.9%98 W · 111 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked Pistons	50c	19,230$9,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,615	61	52.5%32 W · 29 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Magic	51c	14,858$7,514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,513.58	296	50.3%149 W · 147 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Magic	51c	12,508$6,379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,379.14	323	51.1%165 W · 158 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Magic	51c	10,500$5,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,355	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Magic	52c	10,418$5,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,403.93	1,271	38.3%487 W · 784 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Magic	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Magic	51c	9,804$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Magic	50c	9,400$4,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,700	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons	49c	8,930$4,376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,554.43	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Magic	49c	6,735$3,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,300	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	-2.7wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Pistons	21c	6,605$1,389 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,216.03	220	36.8%81 W · 139 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Magic	49c	6,122$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Pistons	50c	5,800$2,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,900	40	40%16 W · 24 L	+2.9wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Magic	65c	5,410$3,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,515.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Magic	50c	5,298$2,670 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,669.86	698	48.6%339 W · 359 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Magic	51c	4,200$2,142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,142	824	42.2%348 W · 476 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb68b…9b23backed Magic	49c	4,100$1,994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,993.99	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e01…0875backed Magic	49c	4,082$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Magic	49c	3,031$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485.22	118	64.4%76 W · 42 L	+15.6wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Pistons	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	102	48%49 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Magic	49c	2,861$1,402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,401.78	650	45.1%293 W · 357 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384c…2f59backed Pistons	51c	2,861$1,459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.78	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+3.0wins	+0.30per pick	50cpaid	+61%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Pistons	52c	2,730$1,419 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,310.31	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Magic	48c	2,586$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.08	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Pistons	51c	2,353$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,152.94	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Magic	49c	2,055$1,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,011.42	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Magic	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	271	63.5%172 W · 99 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Pistons	50c	2,000$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000	162	49.4%80 W · 82 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Magic	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	220	41.4%91 W · 129 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7202…e51abacked Magic	49c	2,000$980 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$980	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Pistons	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$960	564	53.9%304 W · 260 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pistons	49c	2,000$980 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,019.99	503	46.5%234 W · 269 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x791e…9bdabacked Pistons	52c	1,923$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$923.08	172	47.7%82 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Magic	49c	1,917$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$939.13	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Magic	50c	1,800$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1333…e463backed Magic	51c	1,692$863 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862.92	44	38.6%17 W · 27 L	-6.2wins	-0.14per pick	53cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0437…30f4backed Magic	50c	1,539$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$763.98	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Magic	51c	1,500$765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$765	62	66.1%41 W · 21 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+28.7%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Pistons	51c	1,495$757 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$737.4	350	49.4%173 W · 177 L	+17.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Magic	46c	1,487$684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$684.14	149	53%79 W · 70 L	+10.0wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Pistons	50c	1,410$709 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700.89	195	47.2%92 W · 103 L	-9.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed Magic	51c	1,278$652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$651.82	148	54.1%80 W · 68 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Magic	49c	1,251$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.15	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf92c…87f7backed Magic	51c	1,200$612 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$612	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…ad24backed Pistons	51c	1,186$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$580.96	44	52.3%23 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Magic	47c	1,163$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.67	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed Pistons	50c	1,131$566 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$565.74	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.27per pick	57cpaid	+62.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Magic	49c	1,100$539 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.99	451	46.1%208 W · 243 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Magic	77c	1,087$841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$840.65	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Magic	48c	1,080$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$519.2	620	51.1%317 W · 303 L	+14.7wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Magic	47c	1,019$479 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.97	377	55.2%208 W · 169 L	+23.5wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+60.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Magic	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	736	49.9%367 W · 369 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Pistons	52c	1,000$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480	111	53.2%59 W · 52 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bc5…4626backed Magic	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5db9…e95fbacked Magic	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Magic	49c	979.59$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5e8a…a5bcbacked Pistons	52c	961.54$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.54	82	42.7%35 W · 47 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed Magic	49c	905.86$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.87	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-8.7wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Pistons	24c	830$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$630.8	529	51.2%271 W · 258 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10f9…9d91backed Pistons	50c	800$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$400	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Magic	50c	800$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea4…ea06backed Magic	49c	763.27$374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374	39	56.4%22 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Magic	49c	748.77$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.9	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Pistons	51c	686.27$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$336.27	94	47.9%45 W · 49 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Magic	75c	669.22$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.88	148	45.3%67 W · 81 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Magic	48c	600$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	382	42.9%164 W · 218 L	-11.5wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed Pistons	51c	600$306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$294	99	58.6%58 W · 41 L	+9.5wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Magic	49c	599.98$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.99	272	46.7%127 W · 145 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Pistons	51c	596.77$304 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$292.42	235	53.6%126 W · 109 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d63…8b8cbacked Magic	47c	573$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.31	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Magic	50c	516$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	-4.7wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-32%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Pistons	54c	488.44$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.68	447	40.7%182 W · 265 L	-27.5wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Pistons	46c	469.7$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.64	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Magic	56c	426.04$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.47	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed Pistons	51c	413.73$211 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.73	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Magic	50c	412.82$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.41	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	+5.4wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Magic	68c	409$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.16	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Magic	49c	402.04$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Pistons	51c	402$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.99	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed Magic	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	216	57.9%125 W · 91 L	+8.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Pistons	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-5.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe132…ca8dbacked Magic	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Magic	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	164	29.9%49 W · 115 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe99…a1e1backed Pistons	52c	384.62$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.62	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+5.7wins	+0.16per pick	38cpaid	+51%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Magic	51c	352.9$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.98	592	50.2%297 W · 295 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Pistons	48c	332.71$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.01	616	38.5%237 W · 379 L	-8.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Pistons	47c	300.49$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159.91	1,317	47.8%629 W · 688 L	+15.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Pistons	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Magic	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	28	64.3%18 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)this page
1H Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Magic won
1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Magic won
Ausar Thompson: Points O/U 8.5No won
Ausar Thompson: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Cade Cunningham: Assists O/U 9.5No won
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
Duncan Robinson: Points O/U 9.5Yes won
Duncan Robinson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
Jalen Duren: Rebounds O/U 9.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
Paolo Banchero: Points O/U 23.5No won
Paolo Banchero: Rebounds O/U 8.5Yes won
Pistons vs. MagicPistons won
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H MoneylineMagic won
Pistons vs. Magic: 1H O/U 108.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 176.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 181.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 195.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 198.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 200.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 205.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 208.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 209.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 210.5Under won
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 211.5Under won
Spread: Magic (-16.5)Pistons won
Spread: Magic (-2.5)Pistons won
Spread: Magic (-4.5)Pistons won
Spread: Magic (-6.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-1.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Pistons won
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 1.5No won
Tobias Harris: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Pistons (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event